Sunday, July 19, 2020

US Market 18 Jul 2020

US market closed higher except for Nasdaq closed lower with a -roc outside day on a weekly chart.
On the weekly chart, S&P and Russell closed with a small +roc.

BDI closed lower, Harpex closed higher.

Dollar index testing previous month low.

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • Dow
  • S&P (1)
  • Russell
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average



Dow
Daily UT, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around 27,350, 28,195
, 28,730, 29,106, 29,407
Potential support around 26,245, 25,784, 25,336, 24,837, 24,170, 23,567, 23,435, 23,175

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 3,303, 3,391, 3,454
Potential support around 3,219, 3,155, 3,072, 3,022, 2,983, 2,940, 2,874, 2,854, 2,825

Nasdaq
Daily UT
, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 10,856, 11,318, 12,040
Potential support around 10,595, 10,206, 9,873, 9,723, 9,243, 8,781, 8,428, 8,196

Russell
Daily 
UT, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around
 1,508, 1,519, 1,543, 1,585, 1,609
, 1,624, 1,649
Potential support around 1,451, 1,420, 1,388, 1,341, 1,296, 1,287, 1,259, 1,240, 1,213

Key event to watch out  (SG Time, GMT+8)
20 Jul, Mon
  • 0750 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
  • 0930 China PBoC Loan Prime Rate
21 Jul, Tue
  • 0930 Australia RBA Meeting Minutes
  • 1030 Australia RBA's Governor Lowe speech
  • 2030 Canada Core Retail Sales (MoM) (May)
22 Jul, Wed
  • 0930 Australia Retail Sales (MoM)
  • 2030 Canada Core CPI (MoM) (Jun)
  • 2200 US Existing Home Sales (Jun)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories 
23 Jul, Thu
  • Japan Holiday
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
24 Jul, Fri
  • Japan Holiday
  • 1400 UK Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun)
  • 1530 German Manufacturing PMI (Jul)
  • 1600 Europe Markit PMI Composite
  • 1630 UK Composite PMI
  • 1630 UK Services PMI  
  • 2200 US New Home Sales (Jun)

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