Sunday, February 18, 2018

COT Charts

COT for US Indices

Download Commodities COT

COT for Dollar Index

Sunday, February 11, 2018

COT Charts

Due to the personal commitment, I will be taking a two weeks break.  If COT is available, I will post the charts.  Next update will be on the 25 Feb 2018.

COT for US Indices

Download Commodities COT

COT for Dollar Index

Sunday, February 4, 2018

Dollar Index consolidating

Dollar Index consolidating after last week broke down.  On the weekly chart, it closed with a +roc inside day.
Resistance at  Trend Channel (Blue), 90.6, TLD2, 92.0, 93.0
Support at 88.88, 86.5, 83.2, 79.0

Due to free chart service limitation.  Support levels are estimated based on investing.com chart.

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Commodities Update 03 Feb 18

BDI slumped down to 1,095 (02 Feb) from 1,219 (26 Jan)
Harpex close higher again at 504.25 (27 Jan) from 501.57 (20 Jan)

COT 
Download Commodities COT
Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend

  • Coffee
  • Sugar (1)
  • Orange Juice
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Soybeans
  • Natural Gas (1)
  • Crude

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend

  • Lumber
  • Gasoline
  • Copper
  • Palladium
  • Gold
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average

US Markets 03 Feb 18

FED leaves the rate unchanged and expects inflation to move up this year.  
US markets broke hlf on the weekly chart.
BDI slumped while Harpex continues to go higher.
Dollar Index consolidating.  

Australia, New Zealand and UK will be having the Interest rate decision this week.

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 

  • Nasdaq
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT 

  • Dow
  • S&P
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average





Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 25,956, 
Upper Trend Channel (Blue),  26,976
Potential support around Lower Trend Channel (Blue), 24,847, 24,175, 23,567, 23,175

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around Upper Trend Channel (green), 2,874, 2,983
Potential support around TLU3,  2,748, 2,697, 2,668, 2,650,  2,593

Nasdaq
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around  
6,983, 7,022, 7,706
Potential support around TLU7, 6,347, TLU6, 6,261, 6,061, 5,952

Russell
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 
1,552, 1,609, 1,649
Potential support around 1,543, TLU3, 1,519, 1,508, 1,497

Key event to watch out  (SG Time)
05 Feb, Mon
  • 1730 UK Services PMI (Jan)
  • 2300 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jan)
06 Feb, Tue
  • 0830 Australia Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec)
  • 1130 Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision (Feb) 
  • 1130 Australia RBA Rate Statement
  • 2300 US JOLTs Job Openings (Dec)
07 Feb, Wed 
  • 0545 New Zealand Employment Change (QoQ) (Q4)
  • 2330 US Crude Oil Inventories
08 Feb, Thu
  • 0400 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
  • 0400 New Zealand RBNZ Rate Statement
  • 2000 UK BOE Inflation Letter
  • 2000 UK BoE Inflation Report
  • 2000 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision (Feb)  
09 Feb, Fri
  • 1730 UK Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Dec)
  • 2130 Canada Employment Change (Jan) 

Monday, January 29, 2018

Dollar Index broke down

Dollar Index broke down from consolidation, tested and closed at 88.8 support.
Resistance at  Trend Channel (Blue), 90.6, TLD2, 92.0, 93.0
Support at 88.88, 86.5, 83.2, 79.0

Due to free chart service limitation.  Support levels are estimated based on investing.com chart.

COT for Dollar Index

Weekly chart with 50 SMA


Commodities Update - 27 Jan 18

BDI close positive this week at 1,219 (26 Jan) from 1,125 (19 Jan)
Harpex close higher at 501.57 (20 Jan) from 489.34 (13 Jan)

COT 
Download Commodities COT
Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend

  • Coffee (1)
  • Sugar (1)
  • Orange Juice
Neutral
  • Wheat
  • Soybeans
Up Trend
  • Corn
  • Natural Gas (1)
  • Crude

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend

  • Heating Oil
  • Lumber
  • Copper
  • Palladium
  • Gold
  • Cotton
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average