Sunday, March 22, 2020

US Market 21 Mar 2020

US market continues to slump. 
Dow broke the year 2017 low.
S&P testing the year 2017 low.
Nasdaq broke the year 2019 low.
Russell testing year 2016 low.

BDI and Harpex both closed lower.

Dollar Index rallied.

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 

  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • Dow (1)
  • Russell 

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT 

  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average 




Dow
Daily DT, Weekly Neutral
Potential resistance around
 20,756, 21,099, 21,659, 22,027, 22,121, 22,776, 23,175
Potential support around 18,669, 18,557, 18,367, 18,017, 17,079, 16,328, 15,778

S&P
Daily DT, Weekly Neutral
Potential resistance around 2,366, 2,392, 2,406, 2,450, 2,480, 2,506, 2,551, 2,593 
Potential support around 2,187, 2161, 2,081, 2,041, 1,930, 1,806

Nasdaq
Daily 
DT, Weekly 
Neutral
Potential resistance around 6,982, 7,134, 7,282, 7,516, 7,706, 7,859, 8,002
Potential support around 6,516, 6,346, 6,261, 6,061, 5,950, 5,538

Russell
Daily DT
, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around
 1,009, 1,049, 1,082, 1,095, 1,114, 1,137, 1,164, 1,185, 1,213
Potential support around 998, 951, 900, 866, 740

Key event to watch out  (SG Time, GMT+8)
23 Mar, Mon
  • No important data
24 Mar, Tue
  • 1630 German Manufacturing PMI (Mar)  
  • 1700 Europe Markit PMI Composite
  • 1730 UK Composite PMI  
  • 1730 UK Manufacturing PMI  
  • 1730 UK Services PMI  
  • 2200 US New Home Sales (Feb)
25 Mar, Wed
  • 0900 New Zealand RBNZ Rate Statement
  • 0900 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
  • 1700 German Ifo Business Climate Index (Mar)
  • 1730 UK CPI (YoY) (Feb)
  • 2030 US Durable Goods Orders
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories 
26 Mar, Thu
  • 1730 UK Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2000 UK BoE MPC Meeting Minutes  
  • 2000 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision
  • 2030 US GDP (QoQ) (Q4)
  • 2030 US Goods Trade Balance
27 Mar, Fri
  • 0730 Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY)
  • 2300 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

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