Sunday, April 10, 2016

Commodities Update - 09 Apr 16

BDI continue to run up from 450 (01 Apr) to 539 (08 Apr) 
Harpex continue to lower from 363.30 (26 Mar) to 362.47 (02 Apr)

Summary
Energy and most soft commodities closed higher while others are mixed.  BDI had bottom around Feb, since then BDI had been going higher, time to watch commodities.  Commodities may goes higher due to US economy is improving, job growth stabilizing, dry weather all these may drive up commodities price.

COT
Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend 
  • Oats
  • Corn
  • Wheat
  • Soybean Meal
  • Natural Gas (1)
  • Cotton
Neutral
  • Cocoa
Up Trend 
  • Platinum
  • Palladium (1)

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend 
  • Soybean Oil
  • Crude
  • Gold
Neutral 
  • None
Down Trend 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal from DT to UT
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average








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