Sunday, April 7, 2024

US Markets 06 Apr 24

The US market broke the higher-low formation on the weekly chart and closed lower.
The Nasdaq closed with an outside day on the weekly chart.

While Harpex continued to close higher, BDI, CCFI, and CDFI continued to close lower.

The dollar index closed lower with an outside day on the weekly chart.
It tested TLD2 support and closed above it.

Watch out for

  • CPI data by multiple countries
  • Interest rate decisions by New Zealand, Canada and Europe
  • US FOMC Meeting Minutes

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • S&P
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages.


Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 
39,754, 41,884
Potential support around 37,625, 35,495, 33,365, 31,236

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 5,338
Potential support around 5,103, 4,867, 4,632, 4,396, 4,161

Nasdaq
Daily U
T, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 18,542
Potential support around 17,819, 17,097, 16,374, 15,652

Russell
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,170, 2,300
Potential support around 2,040, 1,910, 1,779, 1,649, 1,519

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

08 Apr, Mon
  • No important data
09 Apr, Tue
  • No important data
10 Apr, Wed
  • 1000 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
  • 2030 US Core CPI (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2030 US CPI (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2145 Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories
11 Apr, Thu
  • 0100 US 10-Year Note Auction
  • 0200 US FOMC Meeting Minutes
  • 0930 China CPI (YoY) (Mar)
  • 0930 China PPI (YoY) (Mar)
  • 2015 Europe Deposit Facility Rate (Apr)
  • 2015 Europe ECB Interest Rate Decision (Apr)
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2030 US PPI (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2045 Europe ECB Press Conference
12 Apr, Fri
  • 0100 US 30-Year Bond Auction
  • 1400 UK GDP (MoM) (Feb)
  • 1400 German CPI (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2200 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Apr) 

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