Sunday, September 13, 2026

US Markets 12 Sep 26

The US market closed lower. While the Dow's daily trend turned neutral, Russell's daily trend turned down.

The dollar index tested the 98.7 support level, rebounded and closed higher.

While Harpex, CCFI, and CDFI closed higher, BDI closed lower.

Watch out for

  • CPI data from multiple countries
  • The US, the UK and Japan interest rate decisions 

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • Russell

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 54,662, 56,792
Potential support around 52,533, 50,403, 48,273

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 7,693, 7,929
Potential support around 7,458, 7,222, 6,987

Nasdaq
Daily Neutral
, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 29,378, 30,100, 30,822
Potential support around 28,655, 27,933, 27,210

Russell
Daily DT
Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,951, 3,081, 3,212
Potential support around 2,821, 2,691, 2,561

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

14 Sep, Mon

  • 2030 Canada CPI (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2030 Canada Core CPI (MoM) (Aug)

15 Sep, Tue

  • 1000 China Industrial Production (YoY) (Aug)
  • 1000 China Unemployment Rate  (Aug)
  • 1400 UK Unemployment Rate  (Jul)
  • 1400 UK Employment Change
  • 1700 Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment (Sep)
  • 1700 Europe ZEW Economic Sentiment (Sep)
  • 2015 US ADP Employment Change Weekly  
  • 2030 US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep)

16 Sep, Wed

  • 1700 UK CPI (YoY) (Aug)
  • 2030 US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2030 US Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

17 Sep, Thu

  • 0200 US Fed Interest Rate Decision
  • 0200 US FOMC Statement
  • 0230 US FOMC Press Conference
  • 1700 Europe CPI (YoY) (Aug)
  • 1700 Europe Core CPI (YoY) (Aug)
  • 1900 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision (Sep)
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2030 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Sep)
  • 2030 US Building Permits (Aug) ^P

18 Sep, Fri

  • 0730 Japan National CPI (MoM) 
  • 0730 Japan National Core CPI (MoM) 
  • 1100 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision  
  • 1400 UK Retail Sales (YoY) (Aug)
  • 1400 UK Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Aug)
  • 1430 Japan BoJ Press Conference  

^P: Preliminary Release

Commodities Update 12 Sep 26

BDI reversed to close lower, from 3,628 (04 Sep) to 3,507 (11 Sep)

Harpex closed higher, from 2,443 (04 Sep) to 2,447 (11 Sep)

CDFI closed higher, from 1,777.66 (04 Sep) to 1,791.42 (11 Sep)

CCFI closed higher, from 1,837.01 (04 Sep) to 1,862.18 (11 Sep)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Lumber (1)
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Silver
  • Platinum
  • Coffee
  • Cocoa

Instruments that show selling interest at extremes (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Cotton
  • Wheat
  • Sugar
  • Soybeans
  • Soybean Meal
  • Corn
  • Copper
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index closed higher

The dollar index tested the 98.7 support level, rebounded and closed higher.
Resistance at 99.8, 100.3, 102.3
Support at  98.7, 97.3, 96.3

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Sunday, September 6, 2026

US Markets 05 Sep 26

The US market closed higher, except for the Dow, which closed lower. Russell's daily trend turned neutral.

The dollar index tested the 99.8 resistance level, reversed and closed lower.

BDI, Harpex, CCFI, and CDFI closed higher.

Watch out for

  • Europe Interest Rate Decision
  • China and US CPI

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • Russell
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages



Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 54,662, 56,792
Potential support around 52,533, 50,403, 48,273

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 7,929
Potential support around 7,693, 7,458, 7,222

Nasdaq
Daily Neutral
, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 30,100, 30,822, 31,545
Potential support around 29,378, 28,655, 27,933

Russell
Daily Neutral
 Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 3,081, 3,212
Potential support around 2,951,  2,821, 2,691

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

07 Sep, Mon
  • Canada and US on holiday
  • 1700 Europe GDP (QoQ) (Q2)
08 Sep, Tue
  • 0750 Japan GDP (QoQ) (Q2)
  • 2015 US ADP Employment Change Weekly
09 Sep, Wed
  • 0930 China CPI (YoY) (Aug)
  • 0930 China PPI (YoY) (Aug)
10 Sep, Thu
  • 0100 US 10-Year Note Auction  
  • 1400 Germany CPI (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2015 Europe Deposit Facility Rate (Sep)
  • 2015 Europe ECB Interest Rate Decision (Sep)
  • 2030 US PPI (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2045 Europe ECB Press Conference  
  • 2200 US Existing Home Sales (Aug)
11 Sep, Fri
  • 0000 US Crude Oil Inventories
  • 0101 US 30-Year Bond Auction 
  • 1400 UK GDP (MoM) (Jul)
  • 2030 US CPI (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2030 US Core CPI (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2200 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Sep) ^P
^P: Preliminary Release 

Commodities Update 05 Sep 26

BDI continued to close higher, from 3,186 (28 Aug) to 3,628 (04 Sep)

Harpex closed higher, from 2,413 (28 Aug) to 2,443 (04 Sep)

CDFI closed higher, from 1,643.41 (28 Aug) to 1,777.66 (04 Sep)

CCFI continued to close higher, from 1,833.99 (28 Aug) to 1,837.01 (04 Sep)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Lumber (1)
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Silver
  • Platinum
  • Coffee

Instruments that show selling interest at extremes (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Cotton
  • Wheat
  • Sugar
  • Soybeans
  • Soybean Meal
  • Corn
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index closed lower

The dollar index tested the 99.8 resistance level, reversed and closed lower.
Resistance at 99.8, 100.3, 102.3
Support at  98.7, 97.3, 96.3

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA