Sunday, July 19, 2026

US Markets 18 Jul 26

The US market and dollar index are consolidating and closed lower.
The Nasdaq daily trend turned to Neutral.

While BDI and CDFI reversed to close lower, Harpex and CCFI continued to close higher.

Watch out for

  • Interest rate decision by Europe
  • Preliminary manufacturing and services PMI from multiple countries

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • Nasdaq
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 52,533, 54,662
Potential support around 50,403, 48,273, 46,144

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 7,458, 7,693
Potential support around 7,222, 6,987, 6,751

Nasdaq
Daily Neutral
, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 29,378, 30,100, 30,822
Potential support around 28,655, 27,933, 27,210

Russell
Daily
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around  3,081
Potential support around 2,951, 2,821, 2,691

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

20 Jul, Mon

  • Japan on holiday
  • 0915 China PBoC Loan Prime Rate
  • 2030 Canada Core CPI (MoM) (Jun)
  • 2030 Canada CPI (MoM) (Jun)

21 Jul, Tue

  • 1400 UK Unemployment Rate (May)
  • 1400 UK Claimant Count Change (Jun)
  • 1700 Europe ZEW Economic Sentiment (Jul)
  • 1700 Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment (Jul)
  • 2015 US ADP Employment Change Weekly  

22 Jul, Wed

  • 1400 UK CPI (YoY) (Jun)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

23 Jul, Thu

  • 0930 Australia Unemployment Rate (Jun)
  • 0930 Australia Employment Change (Jun)
  • 2015 Europe ECB Interest Rate Decision (Jul)
  • 2015 Europe Deposit Facility Rate (Jul)
  • 2030 Canada Retail Sales (MoM) (May)
  • 2030 Canada Core Retail Sales (MoM) (May)
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2045 Europe ECB Press Conference

24 Jul, Fri

  • 0730 Japan National Core CPI (YoY) (Jun)
  • 0730 Japan National CPI (YoY) (Jun)
  • 1400 UK Retail Sales (YoY) (Jun)
  • 1400 UK Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Jun)
  • 1530 Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Jul) ^P
  • 1530 Germany HCOB Services PMI (Jul) ^P
  • 1600 Europe HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Jul) ^P
  • 1600 Europe HCOB Services PMI (Jul) ^P
  • 1600 UK S&P Global Services PMI (Jul) ^P
  • 1600 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jul) ^P
  • 2030 US Building Permits (Jun)
  • 2145 US S&P Global Services PMI (Jul) ^P
  • 2145 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jul) ^P
  • 2200 US New Home Sales (Jun)

^P: Preliminary Release

Commodities Update 18 Jul 26

BDI reversed to close lower from 2,944 (10 Jul) to 2,752 (17 Jul)

Harpex closed higher from 2,337 (10 Jul) to 2,340 (17 Jul)

CDFI reversed to close lower from 1,466.68 (10 Jul) to 1,460.64 (17 Jul)

CCFI closed higher from 1,873.15 (10 Jul) to 1,910.67 (17 Jul)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Gold
  • Silver (1)
  • Platinum (1)
  • Crude
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Cocoa

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • None
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • Cotton

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index is consolidating

The dollar index is consolidating and closed lower.
Resistance at 102.3, 103.6, 106.7
Support at 100.3, 99.8, 98.7

COT for Dollar Index

Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Sunday, July 12, 2026

US Markets 11 Jul 26

The US market closed mixed. While the Dow and Russell closed higher, S&P and Nasdaq closed lower.

Harpex, BDI, CCFI and CDFI closed higher.

The dollar index closed higher with an inside day on the weekly chart.

Watch out for
  • US CPI
  • Fed Chair Warsh Testimony
  • Canada Interest rate decision 

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • Nasdaq
  • Russell
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 54,662
Potential support around 52,533, 50,403, 48,273

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 7,693
Potential support around 7,458, 7,222, 6,987

Nasdaq
Daily
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 30,100, 30,822
Potential support around 29,378, 28,655, 27,933

Russell
Daily
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around  3,081
Potential support around 2,951, 2,821, 2,691

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

13 Jul, Mon

  • No important data

14 Jul, Tue

  • 2015 US ADP Employment Change Weekly  
  • 2030 US CPI (MoM) (Jun)
  • 2030 US Core CPI (MoM) (Jun)
  • 2200 US Fed Chair Warsh Testimony

15 Jul, Wed

  • 1000 China GDP (YoY) (Q2)
  • 1000 China Industrial Production (YoY) (Jun)
  • 1000 China Chinese Unemployment Rate (Jun)
  • 2030 US PPI (MoM) (Jun)
  • 2030 US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jul)
  • 2145 Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision  
  • 2200 US Fed Chair Warsh Testimony
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

16 Jul, Thu

  • 1400 UK GDP (MoM) (May)
  • 2030 US Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun)
  • 2030 US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun)
  • 2030 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jul)
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims

17 Jul, Fri

  • 1700 Europe CPI (YoY) (Jun)
  • 2030 US Building Permits (Jun) ^P
  • 2200 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jul) ^P

^P: Preliminary Release

Commodities Update 11 Jul 26

BDI continued to close higher from 2,717 (03 Jul) to 2,944 (10 Jul)

Harpex closed higher from 2,327 (04 Jul) to  2,337 (10 Jul)

CDFI continued to close higher from 1,394.88 (04 Jul) to 1,466.68 (10 Jul)

CCFI closed higher from 1,811.15 (04 Jul) to 1,873.15 (10 Jul)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Gold
  • Silver (1)
  • Platinum (1)
  • Crude
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Cocoa
  • Heating Oil

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • None
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index directionless

The dollar index closed higher with an inside day on the weekly chart.
Resistance at 102.3, 103.6, 106.7
Support at 100.3, 99.8, 98.7

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA