Sunday, February 15, 2026

US Markets 14 Feb 26

The US market closed lower while consolidating.

While BDI, Harpex and CDFI closed higher, CCFI  closed lower.

The dollar index broke the previous week's low and closed lower.

Watch out for

  • China's long holiday and Hong Kong's short trading week
  • US FOMC Meeting Minutes
  • US GDP

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 50,403
Potential support around 48,273, 46,144, 44,014

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,987, 7,222
Potential support around 6,751, 6,516, 6,280, 6,045

Nasdaq
Daily DT,
 Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 25,043, 25,766, 26,488
Potential support around 24,321, 23,598, 22,876

Russell
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,691, 2,821
Potential support around 2,561, 2,430, 2,300

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

16 Feb, Mon

  • Canada, China and the US are on holiday
  • 0750 Japan GDP (QoQ) (Q4)

17 Feb, Tue

  • China and Hong Kong on holiday
  • 1500 Germany CPI (MoM) (Jan)
  • 1500 UK Unemployment Rate (Dec)
  • 1800 Europe ZEW Economic Sentiment (Feb)
  • 1800 Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment (Feb)
  • 2130 Canada Core CPI (MoM) (Jan)
  • 2130 Canada CPI (MoM) (Jan)
  • 2130 US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Feb)

18 Feb, Wed

  • China and Hong Kong on holiday
  • 0900 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
  • 1500 UK CPI (YoY) (Jan)
  • 2100 US Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Dec)
  • 2100 US Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Dec)

19 Feb, Thu

  • China and Hong Kong on holiday
  • 0300 US FOMC Meeting Minutes
  • 0830 Australia Unemployment Rate (Jan)
  • 2130 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Feb)
  • 2130 US Initial Jobless Claims

20 Feb, Fri

  • China on holiday
  • 0100 US Crude Oil Inventories
  • 0730 Japan National CPI (MoM) (Jan)
  • 0830 Japan S&P Global Services PMI (Feb)
  • 0900 China Loan Prime Rate 5Y (Feb)
  • 1500 UK Retail Sales (YoY) (Jan)
  • 1500 UK Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Jan)
  • 2130 US Core PCE Prices (Q4)
  • 2130 US GDP (QoQ) (Q4)
  • 2130 Canada Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec)
  • 2130 Canada Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec)
  • 2300 US New Home Sales (Dec)
  • 2300 US Michigan Consumer Expectations (Feb)


Commodities Update 14 Feb 26

BDI reversed to close higher from 1,923 (06 Feb) to 2,083 (13 Feb)

Harpex closed higher from 2,184 (06 Feb) to 2,191 (13 Feb)

CDFI reversed to close higher from 1,036.42 (06 Feb) to 1,073.46 (13 Feb)

CCFI closed lower from 1,122.15 (06 Feb) to 1,088.14 (13 Feb)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Coffee (1)
  • Cocoa
  • Cotton
  • Sugar (1)
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Crude
  • Rough Rice
  • Gold (1)
  • Platinum (1)
  • Silver (1)
  • Lumber

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Gasoline
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index closed lower

The dollar index broke the previous week's low and closed lower.
Resistance at 97.3, 98.7, 99.8, 100.3
Support at 96.3, 95.0, 94.0


COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Sunday, February 8, 2026

US Markets 07 Feb 26

The US market closed mixed. While the Dow and Russell closed higher, the S&P and Nasdaq closed lower. The Dow closed at a historic high.

While BDI, CCFI and CDFI closed lower, Harpex remained unchanged.

The dollar index broke the previous week's high and closed higher.

Watch out for

  • US NFP
  • US and China CPI

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 50,403
Potential support around 48,273, 46,144, 44,014

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,987, 7,222
Potential support around 6,751, 6,516, 6,280, 6,045

Nasdaq
Daily Neutral,
 Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 25,043, 25,766, 26,488
Potential support around 24,321, 23,598, 22,876

Russell
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,691, 2,821
Potential support around 2,561, 2,430, 2,300

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

09 Feb, Mon

  • No important data

10 Feb, Tue

  • 2130 US Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec)
  • 2130 US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec)

11 Feb, Wed

  • Japan on holiday
  • 0930 China CPI (MoM) (Jan)
  • 0930 China PPI (YoY) (Jan)
  • 2130 US Nonfarm Payrolls (Jan)
  • 2130 US Unemployment Rate (Jan)
  • 2130 Canada Building Permits (MoM) (Dec)
  • 2330 US Crude Oil Inventories

12 Feb, Thu

  • 0200 US 10-Year Note Auction
  • 1500 UK GDP (YoY) (Q4)
  • 1500 UK GDP (MoM) (Dec)
  • 1500 UK GDP (QoQ) (Q4)
  • 2130 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2300 US Existing Home Sales  (Jan)

13 Feb, Fri

  • 0201 US 30-Year Bond Auction 
  • 1800 Europe GDP (YoY) (Q4)
  • 1800 Europe GDP (QoQ) (Q4)
  • 2130 US CPI (MoM) (Jan)
  • 2130 US Core CPI (MoM) (Jan)

Commodities Update 07 Feb 26

BDI reversed to close lower from 2,148 (30 Jan) to 1,923 (06 Feb)

Harpex remained at 2,184 (06 Feb)

CDFI reversed to close lower from 1,080.15 (30 Jan) to 1,036.42 (06 Feb)

CCFI closed lower from 1,175.59 (30 Jan) to 1,122.15 (06 Feb)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Coffee
  • Cocoa
  • Cotton
Neutral
  • Sugar (1)
Up Trend
  • Crude
  • Rough Rice
  • Gold
  • Platinum (1)
  • Silver (1)
  • Lumber

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • None
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index closed higher

The dollar index broke the previous week's high and closed higher.
Resistance at 98.7, 99.8, 100.3
Support at 97.3, 96.3, 95.0, 94.0

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA