Sunday, April 26, 2026

US Markets 25 Apr 26

The US market closed at historic highs, except for the Dow, which closed lower. The trend turned up for S&P, Nasdaq, and Russell.

While BDI and CDFI closed higher, CDFI closed lower, and Harpex remained unchanged.

The dollar index closed higher with an inside day.

Watch out for

  • Interest rate decisions by Japan, Canada, the US, the UK and Europe
  • China and US Manufacturing PMI

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • Nasdaq
  • Russell
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 50,403, 52,533
Potential support around 48,273, 46,144, 44,014

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 7,222, 7,458
Potential support around 6,987, 6,751, 6,516

Nasdaq
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 27,933
Potential support around 27,210, 26,488, 25,766

Russell
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around  2,821, 2,951
Potential support around 2,691, 2,561, 2,430

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

27 Apr, Mon
  • No important data
28 Apr, Tue
  • 1100 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision  
  • 1430 Japan BoJ Press Conference
  • 2200 US CB Consumer Confidence  (Apr)
29 Apr, Wed
  • Japan on holiday
  • 0930 Australia CPI (YoY) (Q1)
  • 2030 US Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2145 Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision 
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories
30 Apr, Thu
  • 0200 US Fed Interest Rate Decision  
  • 0230 US FOMC Press Conference  
  • 0930 China Manufacturing PMI  (Apr)
  • 0930 China Non-Manufacturing PMI  (Apr)
  • 1900 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision  (Apr)
  • 2015 Europe ECB Interest Rate Decision  (Apr)
  • 2015 Europe Deposit Facility Rate  (Apr)
  • 2030 US Core PCE Price Index
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2045 Europe ECB Press Conference  
01 May, Fri
  • China, Hong Kong, Germany and Switzerland on holiday
  • 2145 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
  • 2200 US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr)

Commodities Update 25 Apr 26

BDI closed higher from 2,567 (17 Apr) to 2,665 (24 Apr)

Harpex remained unchanged at 2,257 (24 Apr)

CDFI reversed to close lower from 1,501.4 (17 Apr) to 1,498.62 (24 Apr)

CCFI closed higher from 1,211.08 (17 Apr) to 1,233.76 (24 Apr)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Cocoa
  • Coffee
  • Natural Gas (1)
Neutral
  • Platinum
  • Gold (1)
  • Silver (1)
  • Rough Rice
  • Lumber (1)
Up Trend
  • Crude (1)
  • Heating Oil

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Wheat
  • Soybean Meal
  • Soybean Oil
  • Copper
  • Cotton
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index directionless

The dollar index closed higher with an inside day.
Resistance at 98.7, 99.8, 100.3
Support at 97.3, 96.3, 95.0

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Sunday, April 19, 2026

US Markets 18 Apr 26

The US market closed at historic highs, except for the Dow. The trend turned neutral for S&P, Nasdaq, and Russell.

BDI, Harpex, CDFI, and CCFI closed higher.

The dollar index broke the consolidated support and closed lower.

Watch out for

  • CPI and Retail Sales data from multiple countries

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • Nasdaq
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 50,403, 52,533
Potential support around 48,273, 46,144, 44,014

S&P
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 7,222, 7,458
Potential support around 6,987, 6,751, 6,516

Nasdaq
Daily 
Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 27,210
Potential support around 26,488, 25,766, 25,043

Russell
Daily Neutral
, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around  2,821, 2,951
Potential support around 2,691, 2,561, 2,430

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

20 Apr, Mon

  • 0915 China PBoC Loan Prime Rate  
  • 2030 Canada Core CPI (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2030 Canada CPI (MoM) (Mar)

21 Apr, Tue

  • 1400 UK Unemployment Rate  (Feb)
  • 1400 UK Employment Change 3M/3M (MoM) (Feb)
  • 1700 Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment  (Apr)
  • 2015 US ADP Employment Change Weekly  
  • 2030 US Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2030 US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar)

22 Apr, Wed

  • 1400 UK CPI (YoY) (Mar)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

23 Apr, Thu

  • 0930 Australia Unemployment Rate (Mar)
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims

24 Apr, Fri

  • 0730 Japan National Core CPI (YoY) (Mar)
  • 0730 Japan National CPI (YoY) (Mar)
  • 1400 UK Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar)
  • 1400 UK Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar)
  • 1600 Germany German Ifo Business Climate Index (Apr)
  • 2030 Canada Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2030 Canada Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2200 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment  (Apr)

Commodities Update 18 Apr 26

BDI closed higher from 2,201 (10 Apr) to 2,567 (17 Apr)

Harpex closed higher from 2,239 (10 Apr) to 2,257 (17 Apr)

CDFI closed higher from 1,417.63 (10 Apr) to 1,501.4 (17 Apr)

CCFI closed higher from 1,209.84 (10 Apr) to 1,211.08 (17 Apr)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Cocoa
  • Lumber (1)
  • Natural Gas
Neutral
  • Platinum (1)
  • Gold (1)
  • Silver (1)
  • Rough Rice
Up Trend
  • Crude (1)
  • Heating Oil

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Soybean Meal
  • Soybean Oil
Neutral
  • Copper
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index broke the consolidated support

The dollar index broke the consolidated support and closed lower.
Resistance at 98.7, 99.8, 100.3
Support at 97.3, 96.3, 95.0


COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA