Sunday, March 29, 2026

US Markets 28 Mar 26

On the weekly chart, the US market slumped, except for the Russell, which closed higher.

While BDI and CDFI closed lower, CCFI closed higher, and Harpex remained unchanged.

The dollar index consolidated and closed higher.

Watch out for

  • Short trading week for most of the markets
  • Speech by US Fed Chair Powell
  • Manufacturing PMI data from multiple countries
  • US NFP

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • Nasdaq

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 46,144, 48,273, 50,403
Potential support around 44,014, 41,884, 39,754

S&P
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,516, 6,751, 6,987
Potential support around 6,280, 6,045, 5,809

Nasdaq
Daily DT,
 Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 23,598, 24,321, 25,043
Potential support around  22,876, 22,154, 21,431

Russell
Daily 
DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,561, 2,691, 2,821
Potential support around 2,430, 2,300, 2,170

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

30 Mar, Mon

  • 2000 Germany CPI (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2230 US Fed Chair Powell Speaks

31 Mar, Tue

  • 0830 Australia RBA Meeting Minutes
  • 0930 China Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 1400 UK GDP (YoY) (Q4)
  • 1700 Europe CPI (YoY) (Mar)
  • 1700 Europe Core CPI (YoY) (Mar)
  • 2030 Canada GDP (MoM) (Jan)
  • 2145 US Chicago PMI (Mar)
  • 2200 US CB Consumer Confidence (Mar)
  • 2200 US JOLTS Job Openings (Feb)

01 Apr, Wed

  • 1555 Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 1600 Europe HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 1630 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 2015 US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Mar)
  • 2030 US Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2030 US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2200 US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

02 Apr, Thu

  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims

03 Apr, Fri

  • Australia, Canada, Germany, Hong Kong, Switzerland, the UK and the US are on holiday
  • 2030 US Nonfarm Payrolls (Mar)
  • 2030 US Unemployment Rate (Mar)
  • 2145 US S&P Global Services PMI (Mar)

Commodities Update 28 Mar 26

BDI reversed to close lower from 2,056 (20 Mar) to 2,031 (27 Mar)

Harpex remained the same at 2,213 (27 Mar)

CDFI reversed to close lower from 1,433.78 (20 Mar) to 1,386.63 (27 Mar)

CCFI closed higher from 1,120.61 (20 Mar) to 1,139.04 (27 Mar)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Cocoa
  • Platinum (1)
  • Natural Gas (1)
  • Gold (1)
  • Silver (1)
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Crude
  • Rough Rice
  • Heating Oil
  • Lumber (1)

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Wheat
  • Soybean Meal
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index closed higher

The dollar index consolidated and closed higher.
Resistance at 100.3, 102.3, 103.6
Support at 99.8, 98.7, 97.3

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA


Sunday, March 22, 2026

US Markets 21 Mar 26

The US market closed lower for another week.

While BDI, CDFI and CCFI closed higher, Harpex remained unchanged.

The dollar index closed lower with an inside day on the weekly chart.

Watch out for

  • Preliminary CPI data from multiple countries.

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • Nasdaq

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 46,144, 48,273, 50,403
Potential support around 44,014, 41,884, 39,754

S&P
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,751, 6,987, 7,222
Potential support around 6,516, 6,280, 6,045

Nasdaq
Daily DT,
 Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 24,321, 25,043, 25,766
Potential support around 23,598, 22,876, 22,154

Russell
Daily 
Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,561, 2,691, 2,821
Potential support around 2,430, 2,300, 2,170

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

23 Mar, Mon

  • No important data

24 Mar, Tue

  • 0730 Japan National Core CPI (YoY) (Feb)
  • 0730 Japan National CPI (YoY) (Feb)
  • 1630 Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 1630 Germany HCOB Services PMI (Mar)
  • 1700 Europe HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 1700 Europe HCOB Services PMI (Mar)
  • 1730 UK S&P Global Services PMI (Mar)
  • 1730 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 2015 US ADP Employment Change Weekly
  • 2145 US S&P Global Services PMI (Mar)
  • 2145 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Mar)

25 Mar, Wed

  • 0830 Australia CPI (YoY) (Feb)
  • 1500 UK CPI (YoY) (Feb)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

26 Mar, Thu

  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims

27 Mar, Fri

  • 1500 UK Retail Sales (YoY) (Feb)
  • 1500 UK Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Feb)
  • 2200 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Mar)

Commodities Update 11 Mar 26

BDI continued to close higher from 2,028 (13 Mar) to 2,056 (20 Mar)

Harpex remained the same at 2,213 (20 Mar)

CDFI closed higher from 1,392.36 (13 Mar) to 1,433.78 (20 Mar)

CCFI closed higher from 1,072.16 (13 Mar) to 1,120.61 (20 Mar)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Coffee
  • Cocoa
  • Sugar
  • Platinum (1)
  • Natural Gas
Neutral
  • Silver (1)
Up Trend
  • Crude
  • Rough Rice
  • Gold (1)
  • Lumber (1)

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Wheat
  • Soybean Meal
  • Soybean Oil
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal



Dollar Index closed with an inside day

The dollar index closed lower with an inside day on the weekly chart.
Resistance at 99.8, 100.3, 102.3
Support at 98.7, 97.3, 96.3

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA