Sunday, September 20, 2026

US Markets 19 Sep 26

The US market closed lower, except for the Nasdaq, which closed higher.
The Dow's daily trend turned down.

The dollar index broke the consolidation resistance and rallied.

While Harpex and CCFI closed higher, BDI and CDFI closed lower.

Watch out for

  • Meeting of President Trump and President Xi
  • Japan short trading week
  • Preliminary Release of Manufacturing and Services PMI from multiple countries
  • Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decision

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • Russell

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 52,533, 54,662, 56,792
Potential support around 50,403, 48,273, 46,144

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 7,693, 7,929
Potential support around 7,458, 7,222, 6,987

Nasdaq
Daily Neutral
, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 30,100, 30,822, 31,545
Potential support around 29,378, 28,655, 27,933

Russell
Daily DT
Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,951, 3,081, 3,212
Potential support around 2,821, 2,691, 2,561

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

21 Sep, Mon

  • Japan on holiday
  • 0915 China PBoC Loan Prime Rate 

22 Sep, Tue

  • Japan on holiday
  • 2015 US ADP Employment Change Weekly  

23 Sep, Wed

  • Japan on holiday
  • 1530 Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Sep) ^P
  • 1530 Germany HCOB Services PMI (Sep) ^P
  • 1600 Europe HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Sep) ^P
  • 1600 Europe HCOB Services PMI (Sep) ^P
  • 1630 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) ^P
  • 1630 UK S&P Global Services PMI (Sep) ^P
  • 2145 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep) ^P
  • 2145 US S&P Global Services PMI (Sep) ^P
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

24 Sep, Thu

  • President Trump and President Xi Summit
  • 0930 Australia Unemployment Rate (Aug)
  • 1530 Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decision (Q3)
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2030 Canada Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)
  • 2030 Canada Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)
  • 2200 US New Home Sales (Aug)

25 Sep, Fri

  • China on holiday
  • 2030 US Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2200 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Sep)

^P: Preliminary Release

Commodities Update 19 Sep 26

BDI continued to close lower, from 3,507 (11 Sep) to 3,370 (18 Sep)

Harpex closed higher, from 2,447 (11 Sep) to 2,450 (18 Sep)

CDFI reversed to close lower, from 1,791.42 (11 Sep) to 1,756.6 (18 Sep)

CCFI closed higher, from 1,862.18 (11 Sep) to 1,897.15 (18 Sep)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Lumber (1)
  • Coffee
Neutral
  • Cocoa
Up Trend
  • Silver
  • Platinum
  • Gold

Instruments that show selling interest at extremes (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Cotton
  • Sugar
  • Soybeans
  • Soybean Meal
  • Corn
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index rallied

The dollar index broke the consolidation resistance and rallied.
Resistance at 100.3, 102.3
Support at 99.8, 98.7, 97.3

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Sunday, September 13, 2026

US Markets 12 Sep 26

The US market closed lower. While the Dow's daily trend turned neutral, Russell's daily trend turned down.

The dollar index tested the 98.7 support level, rebounded and closed higher.

While Harpex, CCFI, and CDFI closed higher, BDI closed lower.

Watch out for

  • CPI data from multiple countries
  • The US, the UK and Japan interest rate decisions 

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • Russell

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 54,662, 56,792
Potential support around 52,533, 50,403, 48,273

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 7,693, 7,929
Potential support around 7,458, 7,222, 6,987

Nasdaq
Daily Neutral
, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 29,378, 30,100, 30,822
Potential support around 28,655, 27,933, 27,210

Russell
Daily DT
Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,951, 3,081, 3,212
Potential support around 2,821, 2,691, 2,561

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

14 Sep, Mon

  • 2030 Canada CPI (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2030 Canada Core CPI (MoM) (Aug)

15 Sep, Tue

  • 1000 China Industrial Production (YoY) (Aug)
  • 1000 China Unemployment Rate  (Aug)
  • 1400 UK Unemployment Rate  (Jul)
  • 1400 UK Employment Change
  • 1700 Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment (Sep)
  • 1700 Europe ZEW Economic Sentiment (Sep)
  • 2015 US ADP Employment Change Weekly  
  • 2030 US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep)

16 Sep, Wed

  • 1700 UK CPI (YoY) (Aug)
  • 2030 US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2030 US Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

17 Sep, Thu

  • 0200 US Fed Interest Rate Decision
  • 0200 US FOMC Statement
  • 0230 US FOMC Press Conference
  • 1700 Europe CPI (YoY) (Aug)
  • 1700 Europe Core CPI (YoY) (Aug)
  • 1900 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision (Sep)
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2030 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Sep)
  • 2030 US Building Permits (Aug) ^P

18 Sep, Fri

  • 0730 Japan National CPI (MoM) 
  • 0730 Japan National Core CPI (MoM) 
  • 1100 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision  
  • 1400 UK Retail Sales (YoY) (Aug)
  • 1400 UK Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Aug)
  • 1430 Japan BoJ Press Conference  

^P: Preliminary Release

Commodities Update 12 Sep 26

BDI reversed to close lower, from 3,628 (04 Sep) to 3,507 (11 Sep)

Harpex closed higher, from 2,443 (04 Sep) to 2,447 (11 Sep)

CDFI closed higher, from 1,777.66 (04 Sep) to 1,791.42 (11 Sep)

CCFI closed higher, from 1,837.01 (04 Sep) to 1,862.18 (11 Sep)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Lumber (1)
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Silver
  • Platinum
  • Coffee
  • Cocoa

Instruments that show selling interest at extremes (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Cotton
  • Wheat
  • Sugar
  • Soybeans
  • Soybean Meal
  • Corn
  • Copper
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index closed higher

The dollar index tested the 98.7 support level, rebounded and closed higher.
Resistance at 99.8, 100.3, 102.3
Support at  98.7, 97.3, 96.3

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA