Sunday, May 17, 2026

US Markets 16 May 26

The US market closed lower, except for the S&P, which edged higher.

BDI, Harpex, CCFI, and CDFI closed higher.

The dollar index broke the consolidation resistance and closed higher.

Watch out for

  • CPI, Manufacturing, and Services PMI data from multiple countries
  • US FOMC Meeting Minutes

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • Nasdaq (1) 
  • Russell
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 50,403, 52,533
Potential support around 48,273, 46,144, 44,014

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 7,458, 7,693
Potential support around 7,222, 6,987, 6,751

Nasdaq
Daily
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 29,378, 30,100
Potential support around 28,655, 27,933, 27,210

Russell
Daily
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around  2,821, 2,951, 3,081
Potential support around 2,691, 2,561, 2,430

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

18 May, Mon

  • Canada on holiday
  • 1000 China Chinese Unemployment Rate  (Apr)
  • 1000 China Industrial Production (YoY) (Apr)

19 May, Tue

  • 0750 Japan GDP (QoQ) (Q1) ^P
  • 0930 Australia RBA Meeting Minutes 
  • 1400 UK Unemployment Rate  (Mar)
  • 2030 Canada Core CPI (MoM) (Apr)
  • 2030 Canada CPI (MoM) (Apr)

20 May, Wed

  • 0915 China PBoC Loan Prime Rate  
  • 1400 UK CPI (YoY) (Apr)
  • 1700 Europe CPI (YoY) (Apr)
  • 1700 Europe Core CPI (YoY) (Apr)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

21 May, Thu

  • 0200 US FOMC Meeting Minutes 
  • 0930 Australia Unemployment Rate (Apr)
  • 1530 Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI (May) ^P
  • 1530 Germany HCOB Services PMI (May) ^P
  • 1600 Europe HCOB Manufacturing PMI (May) ^P
  • 1600 Europe HCOB Services PMI (May) ^P
  • 1630 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May) ^P
  • 1630 UK S&P Global Services PMI (May) ^P
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2030 US Housing Starts (Apr)
  • 2030 US Building Permits (Apr) ^P
  • 2145 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May) ^P
  • 2145 US S&P Global Services PMI (May) ^P

22 May, Fri

  • 0730 Japan National Core CPI (YoY) (Apr)
  • 0730 Japan National CPI (YoY) (Apr)
  • 1400 Germany GDP (QoQ) (Q1)
  • 1400 UK Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Apr)
  • 1400 UK Retail Sales (YoY) (Apr)
  • 2030 Canada Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2030 Canada Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2200 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (May)

Note

  • ^P: Preliminary Release

Commodities Update 16 May 26

BDI closed higher from 2,978 (08 May) to 3,151 (15 May)

Harpex closed higher from 2,292 (08 May) to 2,318 (15 May)

CDFI closed higher from 1,635.45 (08 May) to 1,663.43 (15 May)

CCFI closed higher from 1,278.79 (08 May) to 1,280.46 (15 May)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Coffee
  • Natural Gas
  • Platinum
  • Gold (1)
Neutral
  • Silver
Up Trend
  • Cocoa
  • Lumber (1)
  • Crude (1)
  • Heating Oil

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Wheat
  • Soybeans
  • Soybean Meal
  • Soybean Oil
  • Copper
  • Cotton
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index broke consolidation resistance

The dollar index broke the consolidation resistance and closed higher.
Resistance at 99.8, 100.3, 102.3
Support at 98.7, 97.3, 96.3


COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Sunday, May 10, 2026

US Markets 09 May 26

The US market closed higher. S&P, Nasdaq, and Russell continued to close with historic highs. The DOW trend has turned up.

BDI, Harpex, CCFI, and CDFI closed higher.

While consolidating, the dollar index continued to close lower 

Watch out for

  • CPI data from multiple countries

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • Nasdaq (1) 
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 50,403, 52,533
Potential support around 48,273, 46,144, 44,014

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 7,458, 7,693
Potential support around 7,222, 6,987, 6,751

Nasdaq
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 29,378, 30,100
Potential support around 28,655, 27,933, 27,210

Russell
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around  2,951, 3,081
Potential support around 2,821, 2,691, 2,561

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

11 May, Mon

  • 0930 China CPI (MoM) (Apr)
  • 2200 US Existing Home Sales  (Apr)

12 May, Tue

  • 1400 Germany CPI (MoM) (Apr)
  • 1700 Europe ZEW Economic Sentiment (May)
  • 1700 Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment (May)
  • 2030 US CPI (MoM) (Apr)
  • 2030 US Core CPI (MoM) (Apr)

13 May, Wed

  • 0100 US 10-Year Note Auction 
  • 2030 US PPI (MoM) (Apr)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

14 May, Thu

  • Switzerland on holiday
  • 0100 US 30-Year Note Auction 
  • 1400 UK GDP (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2030 US Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr)
  • 2030 US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr)

15 May, Fri

  • 2030 US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index  (May)


Commodities Update 09 May 26

BDI closed higher from 2,730 (01 May) to 2,978 (08 May)

Harpex closed higher from 2,263 (01 May) to 2,292 (08 May)

CDFI continued to close higher from 1,522.1 (30 Apr) to 1,635.45 (08 May)

CCFI closed higher from 1,269.64 (30 Apr) to 1,278.79 (08 May)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Platinum (1)
  • Gold (1)
  • Silver
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Rough Rice
  • Cocoa
  • Lumber (1)
  • Crude (1)
  • Heating Oil

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Wheat
  • Corn
  • Oats
  • Soybeans
  • Soybean Meal
  • Soybean Oil
  • Copper
  • Cotton
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar index continued to close lower

While consolidating, the dollar index continued to close lower 
Resistance at 98.7, 99.8, 100.3
Support at 97.3, 96.3, 95.0


COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA