Sunday, April 5, 2026

US Markets 04 Apr 26

The US market broke the previous week's low and recovered to close higher.

While BDI, CDFI and CCFI closed higher, Harpex remained unchanged.

The dollar index consolidated and closed lower.

Watch out for

  • Short trading week for Hong Kong
  • China and US CPI data
  • US GDP
  • FOMC Meeting Minutes
  • Services PMI data from multiple countries

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 48,273, 50,403
Potential support around 46,144, 44,014, 41,884

S&P
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,751, 6,987, 7,222
Potential support around 6,516, 6,280, 6,045

Nasdaq
Daily DT,
 Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 24,321, 25,043, 25,766
Potential support around 23,598, 22,876, 22,154

Russell
Daily 
DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,561, 2,691, 2,821
Potential support around 2,430, 2,300, 2,170

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

06 Apr, Mon

  • Australia, China, Germany, Hong Kong, Switzerland and the UK are on holiday
  • 2200 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Mar)

07 Apr, Tue

  • Hong Kong is on holiday
  • 1555 Germany HCOB Services PMI (Mar)
  • 1600 Europe HCOB Services PMI (Mar)
  • 1630 UK S&P Global Services PMI (Mar)
  • 2030 US Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2030 US Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2200 Canada Ivey PMI (Mar)

08 Apr, Wed

  • 1000 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

09 Apr, Thu

  • 0100 US 10-Year Note Auction
  • 0200 US FOMC Meeting Minutes
  • 2030 US Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2030 US GDP (QoQ) (Q4)
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims

10 Apr, Fri

  • 0100 US 30-Year Bond Auction
  • 0930 China CPI (YoY) (Mar)
  • 1400 Germany CPI (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2030 US CPI (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2030 US Core CPI (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2030 Canada Unemployment Rate (Mar)
  • 2030 Canada Employment Change (Mar)

Commodities Update 04 Apr 26

BDI reversed to close higher from 2,031 (27 Mar) to 2,066 (02 Apr)

Harpex remained the same at 2,213 (03 Apr)

CDFI reversed to close higher from 1,386.63 (27 Mar) to 1,404.81 (03 Apr)

CCFI closed higher from 1,139.04 (27 Mar) to 1,184.7 (03 Apr)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Cocoa
  • Platinum (1)
  • Natural Gas (1)
  • Gold (1)
  • Silver (1)
Neutral
  • Lumber
Up Trend
  • Crude
  • Rough Rice
  • Heating Oil

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Wheat
  • Soybean Meal
  • Soybean Oil
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal



Dollar Index closed lower

The dollar index consolidated and closed lower.
Resistance at 100.3, 102.3, 103.6
Support at 99.8, 98.7, 97.3


COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Sunday, March 29, 2026

US Markets 28 Mar 26

On the weekly chart, the US market slumped, except for the Russell, which closed higher.

While BDI and CDFI closed lower, CCFI closed higher, and Harpex remained unchanged.

The dollar index consolidated and closed higher.

Watch out for

  • Short trading week for most of the markets
  • Speech by US Fed Chair Powell
  • Manufacturing PMI data from multiple countries
  • US NFP

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • Nasdaq

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages


Dow
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 46,144, 48,273, 50,403
Potential support around 44,014, 41,884, 39,754

S&P
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,516, 6,751, 6,987
Potential support around 6,280, 6,045, 5,809

Nasdaq
Daily DT,
 Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 23,598, 24,321, 25,043
Potential support around  22,876, 22,154, 21,431

Russell
Daily 
DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,561, 2,691, 2,821
Potential support around 2,430, 2,300, 2,170

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

30 Mar, Mon

  • 2000 Germany CPI (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2230 US Fed Chair Powell Speaks

31 Mar, Tue

  • 0830 Australia RBA Meeting Minutes
  • 0930 China Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 1400 UK GDP (YoY) (Q4)
  • 1700 Europe CPI (YoY) (Mar)
  • 1700 Europe Core CPI (YoY) (Mar)
  • 2030 Canada GDP (MoM) (Jan)
  • 2145 US Chicago PMI (Mar)
  • 2200 US CB Consumer Confidence (Mar)
  • 2200 US JOLTS Job Openings (Feb)

01 Apr, Wed

  • 1555 Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 1600 Europe HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 1630 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 2015 US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Mar)
  • 2030 US Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2030 US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2200 US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mar)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

02 Apr, Thu

  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims

03 Apr, Fri

  • Australia, Canada, Germany, Hong Kong, Switzerland, the UK and the US are on holiday
  • 2030 US Nonfarm Payrolls (Mar)
  • 2030 US Unemployment Rate (Mar)
  • 2145 US S&P Global Services PMI (Mar)

Commodities Update 28 Mar 26

BDI reversed to close lower from 2,056 (20 Mar) to 2,031 (27 Mar)

Harpex remained the same at 2,213 (27 Mar)

CDFI reversed to close lower from 1,433.78 (20 Mar) to 1,386.63 (27 Mar)

CCFI closed higher from 1,120.61 (20 Mar) to 1,139.04 (27 Mar)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Cocoa
  • Platinum (1)
  • Natural Gas (1)
  • Gold (1)
  • Silver (1)
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Crude
  • Rough Rice
  • Heating Oil
  • Lumber (1)

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Wheat
  • Soybean Meal
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index closed higher

The dollar index consolidated and closed higher.
Resistance at 100.3, 102.3, 103.6
Support at 99.8, 98.7, 97.3

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA