US Markets 27 Apr 19

US markets closed higher.  S&P and Nasdaq closed at historic high.  Dow closed with a small +roc.

Harpex and BDI closed higher for another week.

Dollar Index closed higher

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 

• Nasdaq (1)

Neutral 

• None

DT 

• None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 

• None

Neutral 

• None

DT 

• None

Note

(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average

Dow

Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 26,627, 26,976, 29,106

Potential support around 26,245, 25,784, 25,645, 25,326, 24,837, 24,170, 23,567, 23,435

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT

Potential resistance around 2,940, 2,983, 3,219

Potential support around 2,874, 2,825, 2,814, 2,786, 2,747, 2,710, 2,593 2,551, 2,506

Nasdaq
Daily UT, Weekly UT

Potential resistance around 8,428

Potential support around 7,706, 7,516, 7,282, 7,134, 6,982, 6,516, 6,346, 6,261

Russell
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 1,624, 1,683, 1,708

Potential support around 1,609, 1,543, 1,519, 1,508, 1,451, 1,420, 1,388, 1,341, 1,296

Key event to watch out  (SG Time)
29 Apr, Mon

• Japan holiday
• 1610 UK BoE Gov Carney Speaks

30 Apr, Tue

• Japan holiday
• 0900 China Manufacturing PMI (Apr) 
• 0945 China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Apr) 
• 1555 German Unemployment Change (Apr)
• 1700 Europe Gross Domestic Product
• 2030 Canada GDP (MoM) (Feb)
• 2200 US CB Consumer Confidence (Apr) 
• 2200 US Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Mar)
• 2300 Canada BoC's Governor Poloz speech

01 May, Wed

• Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong and most Europe holiday
• 0645 New Zealand Employment Change (QoQ) (Q1)
• 1630 UK Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
• 2015 US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Apr)
• 2200 US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) 
• 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories 

02 May, Thu

• China and Japan holiday
• 0200 US FOMC Statement  
• 0200 US Fed Interest Rate Decision 
• 0230 US FOMC Press Conference  
• 0945 China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
• 1555 German Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
• 1630 UK German Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
• 1900 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision (May)
• 1930 UK BoE Gov Carney Speaks 

03 May, Fri

• Japan holiday
• 1630 UK Services PMI (Apr)
• 1700 Europe CPI (YoY) (Apr)  
• 2030 US Nonfarm Payrolls (Apr)
• 2030 US Unemployment Rate (Apr)
• 2200 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Apr)

US Markets 12 May 18

On the weekly charts, US markets broke lhf and rallied.  Russell is going to test historic high again.  This will be the 3rd time.

Dollar Index tested resistance and pull back.

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 

• Nasdaq (1)

Neutral 

• None

DT 

• None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 

• None

Neutral 

• S&P

DT 

• None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average

Dow

Daily Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 24,847, TLU11, 25,507, 25,821, Lower Trend Channel (Blue), 25,956

Potential support around 24,175, TLD1, 23,567, 23,435, 23,175, 22,776, TLU6, 22,121

S&P
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT

Potential resistance around 2,748, 2,800, TLU3, Lower Trend Channel (green), 2,874

Potential support around  2,710, 2,593, TLD1, 2,551, TLU1, 2,506, 2,480, 2,450, 2,406

Nasdaq
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT

Potential resistance around  6,983, TLU7, 7,134, 7,706

Potential support around 6,857, TLU6, 6,346, 6,261, TLU3, 6,061, TLU4, 5,952

Russell
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 1,609, TLU3, 1,649

Potential support around 1,585, 1,543, 1,519, 1,508, 1,494, TLD1, 1,451, 1,420, 1,388

Key event to watch out  (SG Time)
14 May, Mon

• No important event

15 May, Tue

• 0930 Australia RBA Meeting Minutes
• 1000 China Industrial Production (YoY) (Apr) 
• 1400 German GDP (QoQ) (Q1) 
• 1630 UK Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Mar) 
• 1630 UK Claimant Count Change (Apr)   
• 1700 UK Inflation Report Hearings   
• 1700 German ZEW Economic Sentiment (May)
• 2030 US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr)
• 2030 US Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr) 

16 May, Wed

• 0750 JPY GDP (QoQ) (Q1)
• 1700 Europe CPI (YoY) (Apr)
• 2200 Europe ECB President Draghi Speaks
• 2030 US Building Permits (Apr)
• 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories

17 May, Thu

• 0930 Australia Employment Change (Apr) 
• 2030 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (May) 

18 May, Fri

• 2030 Canada Core CPI (MoM) (Apr)  
• 2030 Canada Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar) 

Indices Performance Chart - 07 Oct 17

Asia and US closed higher while Europe closed mixed.
US markets created a historic high.
BDI rose, Harpex pull back.
Dollar Index broke 93 resistance level.

On 12 Oct, FOMC Minutes at 0200 Hrs while ECB President Draghi's Speech at 2230 Hrs.

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT

• Nasdaq

Neutral

• None

DT

• None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT

• Dow

Neutral

• None

DT

• None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average

US markets created a historic high.  On the weekly chart, Dow and Nasdaq broke lhf.  Russell continues the run-up for 4 consecutive weeks.

Dow

Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 24,847

Potential support around 22,717, TLU11, 22,121, 22,027, TLU6, TLD1, 21,659

S&P
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT

Potential resistance around TLU1, 2,748

Potential support around 2,512, 2,480, 2,450, 2,406, 2,392, 2,366

Nasdaq
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,261, TLU7, 6,983

Potential support around 6,003, 5,952, 5,890, TLD1, TLU3, TLU5, 5,722,  5,634

Russell
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 1,519, TLU3, TLU5, 
Potential support around TLU1, 1,451, 1,420, 1,389, TLD1, 1,341

Key event to watch out  (SG Time)

09 Oct, Mon

• Canada and Japan holiday.
• No important data

10 Oct, Tue

• 1630 GBP UK Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Aug) 

11 Oct, Wed

• 2200 USD US JOLTs Job Openings (Aug)   

12 Oct, Thu

• 0200 USD FOMC Minutes*
• 2030 USD US PPI (MoM) (Sep)
• 2230 EUR ECB President Draghi's Speech
• 2300 USD Crude Oil Inventories

13 Sep, Fri

• 2030 USD US Core CPI (MoM) (Sep) 
• 2030 USD US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) 
• 2030 USD US Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) 

Indices Performance Chart - 30 Sep 17

Europe and US closed higher while most Asia closed lower.
US markets closed higher.  Russell created the new historic high.
BDI and Harpex pull back.
Dollar Index broke and closed above 92.  Need to stay above 93.0 for more upside.

China is on a long holiday. Fed Chair Yellen Speaks on Thu, US Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate on Fri.

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT

• Nasdaq

Neutral

• None

DT

• None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT

• Dow

Neutral

• None

DT

• None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average

US markets closed higher.  On the weekly chart, Dow, S&P and Nasdaq broke pwl and recovered with closed with a +roc.  Russell rallied and created the new historic high.

Dow

Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 22,717, 24,847

Potential support around TLU11, 22,121, 22,027, TLU6, TLD1, 21,659

S&P
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT

Potential resistance around TLU1, 2,748

Potential support around 2,512, 2,480, 2,450, 2,406, 2,392, 2,366

Nasdaq
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,003, 6,261, TLU7, 6,983

Potential support around 5,952, 5,890, TLD1, TLU3, TLU5, 5,722,  5,634

Russell
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 1,519, TLU3, TLU5, 
Potential support around TLU1, 1,451, 1,420, 1,389, TLD1, 1,341

Key event to watch out  (SG Time)

02 Oct, Mon

• China, Hong Kong and India holiday.
• 0750 JPY Japan Tankan Large Manufacturers Index (Q3)
• 0750 JPY Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturers Index (Q3) 
• 1555 EUR German Manufacturing PMI (Sep) 
• 1630 GBP UK Manufacturing PMI (Sep) 
• 2200 USD US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Sep)

03 Oct, Tue

• China and Germany holiday.
• 1130 AUD Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision (Oct)
• 1130 AUD Australia RBA Rate Statement
• 1630 GBP UK Construction PMI (Sep)

04 Oct, Wed

• China holiday.
• 2015 USD US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Sep)
• 2200 USD US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep)  
• 2230 USD Crude Oil Inventories

05 Oct, Thu

• China and Hong Kong holiday
• 0315 USD Fed Chair Yellen Speaks
• 0830 AUD Australia Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)
• 1930 EUR ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting

29 Sep, Fri

• China holiday
• 2030 USD US Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep)
• 2030 USD US Unemployment Rate (Sep)
• 2030 CAD Canada Employment Change (Sep) 
• 2200 CAD Canada Ivey PMI (Sep)

Indices Performance Chart - 23 Sep 17

Europe closed higher while Asia and US closed mixed.
On the weekly chart, Nasdaq broke hlf and closed with -roc while Russell closed higher almost tested historic high.

BDI rallied and broke 1500 mark while Harpex continues to climb higher.

This is second week Dollar Index tested and failed to close above 92.0.  This is the second week of an inside day since 8 Sep on the weekly chart. 

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT

• Nasdaq

Neutral

• None

DT

• None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT

• Dow

Neutral

• None

DT

• None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average

US markets closed mixed.  On the weekly chart, Nasdaq broke hlf and closed with -roc while Russell closed higher almost tested historic high.

Dow

Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 22,717, 24,847

Potential support around TLU11, 22,121, 22,027, TLU6, TLD1, 21,659

S&P
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT

Potential resistance around 2,512, TLU1, 2,748

Potential support around 2,480, 2,450, 2,406, 2,392, 2,366

Nasdaq
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 5,952, 6,261, TLU7, 6,983

Potential support around 5,890, TLD1, TLU3, TLU5, 5,722,  5,634

Russell
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 1,451, TLU1, TLU3, TLU5, 1,519
Potential support around 1,420, 1,389, TLD1, 1,341

Key event to watch out  (SG Time)

25 Aug, Mon

• 0200 EUR German Federal Election
• 1600 EUR German Ifo Business Climate Index (Sep)

26 Sep, Tue

• 0750 JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
• 1800 GBP UK Inflation Report Hearings
• 2200 USD CB Consumer Confidence (Sep)
• 2200 USD New Home Sales (Aug) 

27 Sep, Wed

• 1630 GBP UK GDP (QoQ) (Q2)
• 2030 USD US Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Aug) 
• 2200 USD US Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Aug)
• 2230 USD Crude Oil Inventories

28 Sep, Thu

• 0400 NZD RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
• 2030 USD US GDP (QoQ) (Q2)

29 Sep, Fri

• 1600 EUR German Unemployment Change (Sep)
• 1800 EUR Europe CPI (YoY) (Sep) 
• 2030 CAD Canada GDP (MoM) (Jul

30 Sep, Sat

• 0900 CNY China Manufacturing PMI (Sep)  
• 0945 CNY China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Sep)   

Indices Performance Chart - 16 Sep 17

US, Japan and Europe closed higher while Asia closed lower.
Dow and S&P created a new historic high.
BDI and Harpex continue to climb up steadily.
Dollar Index broke up 92 but failed to hold when closing.

Important event on Thu (21 Sep) 0200 Hrs, Fed Interest Rate Decision followed by FOMC Press conference at 0230 Hrs.

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT

• Nasdaq

Neutral

• None

DT

• None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT

• Dow

Neutral

• None

DT

• None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average 

US markets (except for Russell) broke lhf.  Dow and S&P created a new historic high.  COT show mixed sentimental. 

Dow

Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 22,717, 24,847

Potential support around TLU11, 22,121, 22,027, TLU6, TLD1, 21,659

S&P
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT

Potential resistance around 2,512, TLU1, 2,748

Potential support around 2,480, 2,450, 2,406, 2,392, 2,366

Nasdaq
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,261, TLU7, 6,983

Potential support around 5,952, 5,890, TLU3, TLU5, 5,722,  5,634

Russell
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 1,451, TLU1, TLU3, TLU5, 1,519
Potential support around 1,420, 1,389, TLD1, 1,341

Key event to watch out  (SG Time)

21 Aug, Mon

• Japan Holiday
• 1700 EUR Europe CPI (YoY)

19 Sep, Tue

• 0930 AUD RBA Meeting's Minutes 
• 1700 EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Sep)
• 2030 USD US Building Permits (Aug) 

20 Sep, Wed

• 1500 EUR Non-monetary policy's ECB meeting 
• 1630 GBP UK Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug
• 2200 USD Existing Home Sales (Aug)
• 2230 USD Crude Oil Inventories

21 Sep, Thu

• 0200 USD Fed Interest Rate Decision
• 0230 USD FOMC Press conference 
• 0645 NZD New Zealand GDP (QoQ) (Q2
• 1000 JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision 
• 1000 JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Statement 
• 1430 JPY BoJ Press Conference 
• 2030 USD US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Sep)

22 Sep, Fri

• 1530 EUR German Manufacturing PMI (Sep)
• 2030 CAD Canada Core CPI (MoM) (Aug)  
• 2030 CAD Canada Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)