Sunday, August 14, 2022

US Market 13 Aug 2022

US market continues to close higher.

BDI, Harpex, CCFI and CDFI closed lower.

The dollar index broke down and recovered to consolidating range.

Watch out for

  • CPI data from multiple countries
  • New Zealand Interest Rate Decision
  • Australia RBA Meeting Minutes
  • FOMC Meeting Minutes

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT 
  • S&P (1)
  • Russell
Neutral 
  • Dow
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Average.


Dow
Daily Neutral, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around 35,495, 37,625
Potential support around 33,365, 31,236, 29,407, 29,106, 28,912

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around 4,396, 4,632, 4,867
Potential support around 4,161, 3,925, 3,690, 3,454, 3,219, 2,983

Nasdaq
Daily 
UT, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around 14,207, 14,930, 15,652
Potential support around 13,485, 12,762, 12,040, 11,318, 10,856

Russell
Daily 
UT, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around 2,040, 2,170, 2,300, 2,430
Potential support around 1,910, 1,779, 1,649, 1,519, 1,389

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

15 Aug, Mon
  • 0750 Japan GDP (Q2)
  • 1000 China Industrial Production (YoY) (Jul)  
16 Aug, Tue
  • 0930 Australia RBA Meeting Minutes
  • 1400 UK Claimant Count Change (Jul)
  • 1700 German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Aug)
  • 2030 US Building Permits (Jul)
  • 2030 Canada Core CPI (MoM) (Jul)
17 Aug, Wed
  • 0750 Japan Balance of Trade (Jul)
  • 1000 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
  • 1000 New Zealand RBNZ Press Conference
  • 1400 UK CPI (YoY) (Jul)
  • 1700 Europe Employment Change YoY (Q2)
  • 2030 US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)
  • 2030 US Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories
18 Aug, Thu
  • 0200 US FOMC Meeting Minutes
  • 0930 Australia Employment Change (Jul)
  • 1700 Europe CPI (Jul)
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2030 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)
  • 2200 US Existing Home Sales (Jul)
19 Aug, Fri
  • 0730 Japan Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)
  • 1400 UK Retail Sales (Jul)
  • 2030 Canada Core Retail Sales (Jun)

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