Sunday, October 20, 2019

US Markets 19 Oct 19

US market closed higher except for Dow closed lower.
On the weekly chart, Dow broke lhf and closed with a very small +roc.  S&P and Nasdaq broke pwh and the gain was trimmed before closing.  Russell broke lhf and closed with a +roc.

BDI closed lower.

Dollar Index closed lower.

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 

  • Russell
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT 

  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average 


Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 26,976, 27,350, 29,106
Potential support around 26,627, 26,245, 25,784, 25,645, 25,326, 24,837

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 3,022, 3,219
Potential support around 2,983, 2,940, 2,874, 2,854, 2,825, 2,814, 2,786, 2,747

Nasdaq
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 8,002, 8,428
Potential support around 7,859, 7,706, 7,516, 7,282, 7,134, 6,982, 6,516

Russell
Daily 
UT, Weekly Neutral
Potential resistance around 
1,543, 1,585, 1,609, 1,624
Potential support around 1,519, 1,508, 1,451, 1,420, 1,388, 1,341, 1,296

Key event to watch out  (SG Time, GMT+8)
21 Oct, Mon
  • 0930 China PBoC Interest Rate 
22 Oct, Tue
  • Japan holiday
  • 1600 Europe ECB Bank Lending Survey
  • 2030 Canada Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug) 
  • 2030 US Existing Home Sales (Sep)
23 Oct, Wed
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories 
24 Oct, Thu
  • 1630 German Manufacturing PMI (Oct)  
  • 1700 Europe Markit PMI Composite
  • 1945 Europe Deposit Facility Rate (Oct)
  • 1945 Europe ECB Marginal Lending Facility 
  • 1945 Europe ECB Monetary Policy Statement  
  • 1945 Europe ECB Interest Rate Decision (Oct)
  • 2030 US Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep)
  • 2030 Europe ECB Press Conference  
  • 2200 US New Home Sales
25 Oct, Fri
  • 1600 German Ifo Business Climate Index (Oct)
  • 2200 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

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