Sunday, March 23, 2025

Commodities Update 22 Mar 2025

BDI closed higher from 1,400 (07 Mar) to 1,643 (21 Mar)

Harpex closed higher from 2,070 (07 Mar) to 2,075 (21 Mar)

CDFI closed higher from 1,018.69 (07 Mar) to 1,070.72 (21 Mar)

CCFI closed lower from 1,211.15 (07 Mar) to 1,147.76 (21 Mar)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Soybean Meal
  • Sugar
  • Cotton (1)
  • Rough Rice (1)
  • Cocoa
  • Crude (1)
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Sugar

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Feeder Cattle
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index recovered

The dollar index broke the previous week's low and recovered to close higher. 
Resistance at 106.7, 109.7, TLU2, TLU3, 112.6
Support at 103.6, 102.3, TLU1, 100.3

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Sunday, March 16, 2025

Sunday, March 9, 2025

US Markets 08 Mar 25

The US market closed lower. The daily chart trends of the S&P and Nasdaq have turned a downtrend.

While Harpex, BDI and CDFI closed higher, CCFI continued to close lower.

The dollar index broke 106.7 support, tested and closed above 103.6 support. 

Watch out for

  • Japan and UK GDP data
  • Canada Interest Rate Decision
  • US and Germany CPI

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 
  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • S&P
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend are based on 50 Simple Moving Averages.


Dow
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 44,014, 46,144
Potential support around 44,014, 41,884, 39,754, 37,625, 35,495

S&P
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 5,809, 6,045, 6,280
Potential support around 5,574, 5,338, 5,103

Nasdaq
Daily D
T, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 20,709, 21,431, 22,154, 22,876
Potential support around 19,986, 19,264, 18,542

Russell
Daily 
DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 
2,170, 2,300, 2,430, 2,561
Potential support around 2,040, 1,910, 1,779

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

10 Mar, Mon

  • Start of Daylight Saving 

11 Mar, Tue

  • 0750 Japan GDP (QoQ) (Q4)
  • 2200 US JOLTS Job Openings (Jan)

12 Mar, Wed

  • 2030 US Core CPI (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2030 US CPI (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2130 US Crude Oil Inventories
  • 2145 Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision
  • 2230 Canada BOC Press Conference

13 Mar, Thu

  • 0100 US 10-Year Note Auction
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2030 US PPI (MoM) (Feb)

14 Mar, Fri

  • 0100 US 30-Year Bond Auction
  • 1500 UK GDP (MoM) (Jan)
  • 1500 Germany CPI (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2200 US Michigan Consumer Expectations (Mar)  

Commodities Update 08 Mar 2025

BDI continued to close higher from 981 (21 Feb) to 1,400 (07 Mar)

Harpex closed higher from 2,067 (21 Feb) to 2,070 (07 Mar)

CDFI continued to close higher from 881.32 (21 Feb) to 1,018.69 (07 Mar)

CCFI closed lower from 1,318.71 (21 Feb) to 1,211.15 (07 Mar)

COT     

Download Commodities COT

Instruments that show buying interest (3) by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
  • Sugar
  • Cotton (1)
  • Rough Rice (1)
  • Cocoa
  • Crude
Neutral
  • None
Up Trend
  • Soybean Meal
  • Gasoline

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Up Trend
  • Feeder Cattle
Neutral
  • None
Down Trend
  • None

Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for a trend reversal

Dollar Index slumped

The dollar index broke 106.7 support, tested and closed above 103.6 support.
Resistance at 106.7, 109.7, TLU2, TLU3, 112.6
Support at 103.6, 102.3, TLU1, 100.3

COT for Dollar Index


Weekly chart with 50 SMA