Sunday, April 26, 2020

US Market 25 Apr 2020

US market closed lower except for Russell closed higher.
Dow broke pwl and closed lower with a -roc. Nasdaq broke pwh and closed lower with a +roc. S&P and Russell closed with a +roc inside day.

BDI and Harpex closed lower.


Dollar Index continues to consolidate.


Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT 

  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • Dow (1)
  • S&P (1)
  • Russell (1)

Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) by Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)

UT 

  • None
Neutral 
  • None
DT 
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average





Dow

Daily DT, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around
 24,170, 
24,837, 25,326, 25,645, 25,784, 26,245, 26,627
Potential support around 23,567, 23,435, 23,175, 22,776, 22,121, 22,027, 21,659, 21,099

S&P
Daily DT, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around 2,854, 2,874, 2,940, 2,983, 3,022, 3,072, 3,155, 3,219
Potential support around 2,825, 2,814,  2,786, 2,747, 2,710, 2,593, 2,551, 2,506, 2,480

Nasdaq
Daily 
DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 8,781, 9,243, 9,653, 9,723, 9,873, 10,595
Potential support around 8,428, 8,196, 8,002, 7,859, 7,706, 7,516, 7,282, 7,134

Russell
Daily DT
, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around
 1,240, 1,259, 1,287, 1,296, 1,341, 1,388, 1,420
Potential support around 1,213, 1,185, 1,164, 1,137, 1,114, 1,095

Key event to watch out  (SG Time, GMT+8)
27 Apr, Mon
  • New Zealand holiday
  • 0930 China PBoC Loan Prime Rate 
28 Apr, Tue
  • 1100 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement  
  • 1100 Japan BoJ Outlook Report (YoY)  
  • 1100 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision
  • 1400 Japan BoJ Press Conference  
  • 1600 Europe ECB Bank Lending Survey
  • 2030 US Goods Trade Balance
  • 2200 US CB Consumer Confidence (Apr) 
29 Apr, Wed
  • Japan Holiday
  • 0645 New Zealand Employment Change (QoQ) (Q1)
  • 0930 Australia CPI (QoQ) (Q1)
  • 2000 German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)
  • 2030 US GDP (QoQ) (Q1)  
  • 2200 US Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Mar)
  • 2230 US Crude Oil Inventories 
30 Apr, Thu
  • Hong Kong holiday
  • 0200 US FOMC Statement
  • 0200 US Fed Interest Rate Decision 
  • 0230 US FOMC Press Conference
  • 0750 Japan Industrial Production (YoY)    
  • 0900 China Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
  • 1555 German Unemployment Change (Apr)
  • 1700 Europe Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)
  • 1700 Europe Unemployment Rate
  • 1700 Europe CPI (YoY) (Apr)  
  • 1900 Europe Deposit Facility Rate (Apr) 
  • 1900 Europe ECB Monetary Policy Statement  
  • 1900 Europe ECB Interest Rate Decision 
  • 2030 US Initial Jobless Claims 
  • 2030 Canada GDP (MoM) (Feb)
  • 2030 Europe ECB Press Conference  
01 May, Fri
  • Most  countries in Asia and Europe are having public holiday
  • 0830 Australia Producer Price Index (YoY)
  • 1600 UK Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
  • 2030 US Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)
  • 2200 US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr)

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