Sunday, November 30, 2025

US Markets 29 Nov 25

The US market broke the previous week's high and closed higher. The Dow and S&P closed at a historic high on the weekly chart.

BDI closed higher from 2,275 (21 Nov) to 2,560 (28 Nov)

Harpex remained the same at 2,184 (28 Nov)

CDFI continued to close higher from 1,181.54 (21 Nov) to 1,209.94 (28 Nov)

CCFI reversed to close lower from 1,122.79 (21 Nov) to 1,121.8 (28 Nov)

The dollar index closed lower with an inside day on the weekly chart.

Watch out for

  • Manufacturing and services PMI data from multiple countries
  • Speech by Fed Chair Powell

The release of the COT data has resumed. They are clearing the backlog due to the US government shutdown.  There will be no COT update till the released data is up to date.


Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 48,273
Potential support around 46,144, 44,014, 41,884

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,987
Potential support around 6,751, 6,516, 6,280, 6,045

Nasdaq
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 25,766, 26,488
Potential support around 25,043, 24,321, 23,598

Russell
Daily 
Neutral, Weekly Neutral
Potential resistance around 2,561, 2,691
Potential support around 2,430, 2,300, 2,170

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

01 Dec, Mon

  • 0945 China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (MoM) (Nov)
  • 1655 Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Nov)
  • 1700 Europe HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Nov)
  • 1730 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov)
  • 2245 US Chicago PMI (Dec)
  • 2245 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov)
  • 2300 US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

02 Dec, Tue

  • 0830 Australia Building Approvals (MoM) (Oct)
  • 0900 US Fed Chair Powell Speaks
  • 1500 UK Nationwide HPI (MoM) (Nov)
  • 1500 UK Nationwide HPI (YoY) (Nov)
  • 1800 Europe Core CPI (YoY) (Nov)  
  • 1800 Europe CPI (YoY) (Nov)  
  • 1800 Europe Unemployment Rate (Oct)

03 Dec, Wed

  • 0830 Australia GDP (QoQ) (Q3)
  • 0830 Australia GDP (YoY) (Q3)
  • 0945 China Caixin Services PMI (Nov)
  • 1655 Germany HCOB Services PMI (Nov)
  • 1700 Europe HCOB Services PMI (Nov)
  • 2115 US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Nov)
  • 2245 US S&P Global Services PMI (Nov)
  • 2300 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Nov)
  • 2330 US Crude Oil Inventories

04 Dec, Thu

  • 2130 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2300 Canada Ivey PMI (Nov)

05 Dec, Fri

  • 1800 Europe GDP (QoQ) (Q3)
  • 2130 Canada Employment Change (Nov)
  • 2130 Canada Unemployment Rate (Nov)
  • 2300 US Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Sep)
  • 2300 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Dec) 

Dollar Index closed lower

The dollar index closed lower with an inside day on the weekly chart.
Resistance at 99.8, 100.3, 102.3
Support at 98.7, 97.396.3

COT for Dollar Index

The release of the COT data has resumed. They are clearing the backlog due to the US government shutdown.  There will be no COT update till the released data is up to date.

Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Sunday, November 23, 2025

US Markets 22 Nov 25

The US market broke the previous week's low and closed lower. The trend of Russell turned down.

BDI continued to close higher from 2,125 (14 Nov) to 2,275 (21 Nov)

Harpex remained the same at 2,184 (21 Nov)

CDFI reversed to close higher from 1,149.36 (14 Nov) to 1,181.54 (21 Nov)

CCFI closed higher from 1,094.03 (14 Nov) to 1,122.79 (21 Nov)

The dollar index broke the previous week's low and closed lower.

Watch out for

  • US short trading week.
  • GDP data from multiple countries

The release of the COT data has resumed. They are clearing the backlog due to the US government shutdown.  There will be no COT update till the released data is up to date.


Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 48,273
Potential support around 46,144, 44,014, 41,884

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,751, 6,987
Potential support around 6,516, 6,280, 6,045

Nasdaq
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 24,321, 25,043, 25,766
Potential support around 23,598, 22,876, 22,154

Russell
Daily 
Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,430, 2,561, 2,691
Potential support around 2,300, 2,170, 2,040

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

24 Nov, Mon

  • Japan on holiday

25 Nov, Tue

  • 1500 Germany GDP (QoQ) (Q3)
  • 2130 US Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep)
  • 2130 US Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep)
  • 2130 US PPI (MoM) (Sep)
  • 2300 US CB Consumer Confidence (Nov)

26 Nov, Wed

  • 0830 Australia CPI (QoQ) (Oct)
  • 0900 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
  • 1800 UK Autumn Forecast Statement 
  • 2130 US Building Permits (Sep) 
  • 2130 US Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep)  
  • 2130 US GDP (QoQ) (Q3)  
  • 2130 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2300 US Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Sep)
  • 2300 US New Home Sales (Sep)
  • 2330 US Crude Oil Inventories

27 Nov, Thu

  • US on holiday

28 Nov, Fri

  • US on holiday (Early close)
  • 1655 Germany Unemployment Rate (Nov)
  • 2100 Germany CPI (MoM) (Nov) 
  • 2130 Canada GDP (YoY) (Q3)

Dollar Index closed lower

The dollar index broke the previous week's low and closed lower.
Resistance at 100.3, 102.3
Support at 99.8, 98.7, 97.396.3

COT for Dollar Index

The release of the COT data has resumed. They are clearing the backlog due to the US government shutdown.  There will be no COT update till the released data is up to date.

Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Sunday, November 16, 2025

US Markets 15 Nov 25

The US market closed mixed. While the Dow and S&P closed higher, the Nasdaq and Russell closed lower.

BDI did a reversal last week and continued to close higher from 2,104 (07 Nov) to 2,125 (14 Nov)

Harpex remained the same at 2,184 (14 Nov)

CDFI reversed to close lower from 1,155.45 (07 Nov) to 1,149.36 (14 Nov)

CCFI closed higher from 1,058.17 (07 Nov) to 1,094.03 (14 Nov)

The dollar index broke the previous week's low and closed lower.

Watch out for

  • CPI, Manufacturing and Services PMI data from multiple countries

There will be no COT update due to the US government shutdown.


Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 48,273
Potential support around 46,144, 44,014, 41,884

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,751, 6,987
Potential support around 6,516, 6,280, 6,045

Nasdaq
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 25,766, 26,488
Potential support around 25,043, 24,321, 23,598

Russell
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 
2,430, 2,561, 2,691
Potential support around 2,300, 2,170, 2,040

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

17 Nov, Mon

  • 0750 Japan GDP (QoQ) (Q3)  
  • 1800 Europe EU Economic Forecasts 
  • 2130 US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Nov)
  • 2130 Canada Core CPI (MoM) (Oct)
  • 2130 Canada Core CPI (YoY) (Oct)

18 Nov, Tue

  • 0830 Australia RBA Meeting Minutes
  • 2115 US Industrial Production (MoM) (Oct)

19 Nov, Wed

  • 1500 UK CPI (YoY) (Oct)
  • 1800 Europe CPI (YoY) (Oct)
  • 2130 US Building Permits (Sep)  
  • 2330 US Crude Oil Inventories

20 Nov, Thu

  • 0300 US FOMC Meeting Minutes
  • 0900 China China Loan Prime Rate 5Y (Nov)
  • 0915 China PBoC Loan Prime Rate
  • 1500 Germany PPI (MoM) (Oct)
  • 2130 US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 2130 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov)
  • 2300 US Existing Home Sales (Oct)

21 Nov, Fri

  • 0730 Japan National Core CPI (YoY) (Oct)
  • 0730 Japan National CPI (YoY) (Oct)
  • 1500 UK Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)
  • 1500 UK Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)
  • 1630 Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Nov)  
  • 1630 Germany HCOB Services PMI (Nov)  
  • 1700 Europe HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Nov)  
  • 1700 Europe HCOB Services PMI (Nov)  
  • 1730 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov)  
  • 1730 UK S&P Global Services PMI (Nov)  
  • 2130 Canada Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep)
  • 2130 Canada Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep)
  • 2245 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov)  
  • 2245 US S&P Global Services PMI (Nov)  
  • 2300 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Nov)

Dollar Index closed lower

The dollar index broke the previous week's low and closed lower.
Resistance at 99.8, 100.3
Support at 98.7, 97.396.3, 95.0

COT for Dollar Index

There will be no COT update due to the US government shutdown.

Weekly chart with 50 SMA

Sunday, November 9, 2025

Sunday, November 2, 2025

US Markets 01 Nov 25

The Daylight Saving Time Ends 02 Nov 2025

The US market closed at a historic high, except the Russell closed lower.

BDI reversed to close lower from 1,991 (24 Oct) to 1,966 (31 Oct)

Harpex reversed to close higher from 2,182 (24 Oct) to 2,184 (31 Oct)

CDFI continued to close lower from 1,135.85 (24 Oct) to 1,126.81 (31 Oct)

CCFI continued to close higher from 992.74 (24 Oct) to 1,021.39 (31 Oct)

The dollar index broke the recent consolidation resistance and closed higher.

Watch out for

  • Manufacturing PMI and Caixin Services PMI data from multiple countries
  • Interest rate decisions by Australia and the UK.

There will be no COT update due to the US government shutdown.



Dow
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 48,273
Potential support around 46,144, 44,014, 41,884

S&P
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 6,987
Potential support around 6,751, 6,516, 6,280, 6,045

Nasdaq
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 26,488
Potential support around 25,766, 25,043, 24,321

Russell
Daily 
UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,561, 2,691
Potential support around 2,430, 2,300, 2,170, 2,040

Key event to watch out for (SG Time, GMT+8)

03 Nov, Mon

  • Japan on holiday
  • 0830 Australia Building Approvals (MoM) (Sep)
  • 0945 China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (MoM) (Oct)
  • 1655 Europe HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Oct)
  • 1700 Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Oct)
  • 1730 UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Oct)
  • 2245 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Oct)
  • 2300 US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Oct)

04 Nov, Tue

  • 1130 Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision (Nov)
  • 2300 US JOLTS Job Openings (Sep)

05 Nov, Wed

  • 0750 Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
  • 0945 China Caixin Services PMI (Oct)
  • 1655 Germany HCOB Services PMI (Oct)
  • 1700 Europe HCOB Services PMI (Oct)
  • 1730 UK S&P Global Services PMI (Oct)
  • 2115 US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Oct)
  • 2200 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Oct)
  • 2245 US S&P Global Services PMI (Oct)
  • 2330 US Crude Oil Inventories

06 Nov, Thu

  • 2000 UK BoE Interest Rate Decision (Nov)
  • 2130 US Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ) (Q3) 
  • 2300 Canada Ivey PMI (Oct)

07 Nov, Fri

  • 2130 Canada Employment Change (Oct)
  • 2130 Canada Unemployment Rate (Oct)
  • 2300 US Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Nov) 

Dollar Index closed higher

The dollar index broke the recent consolidation resistance and closed higher.
Resistance at 98.7, 99.8, 100.3
Support at 97.396.3, 95.0, 94.0 

COT for Dollar Index

There will be no COT update due to the US government shutdown.

Weekly chart with 50 SMA