Test Result (T2)
This is another set of test T2 result (No tuning).
Sunday, February 22, 2015
EA Result (20 Feb 15)
Tuned Result (G1)
Test Result (T2)
This is another set of test T2 result (No tuning).
Test Result (T2)
This is another set of test T2 result (No tuning).
Dollar index forming Symmetrical Triangle
Dollar Index closed slight higher @ 94.34. Dollar index forming Symmetrical Triangle watch for potential break out or break down. I am more in favor of break down as dollar index had a great run since last year without any significant pull back (>=5%) and recent US data are below expectation.
V3Go Sentiment Graph
GBPUSD and NZDUSD continue to show sign of less bearish
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V3Go Sentiment Graph
GBPUSD and NZDUSD continue to show sign of less bearish
USD Impact currencies/Gold/Crude(wow)
Weekly chart with 50 SMA
Commodities Update - 21 Feb 15
BDI continue to move to another new low 513 (20 Feb) from to 530 (13 Feb). Continue to monitor for sign of recovery after chinese new year.
Summary
Cocoa, Heating Oil, Gasoline and Natural Gas are trading higher this week. May continue to watch and add some positions especially those that are UT counter.
Trade I am in are
Closed Trade
I may consider to trade if there is a long signal on the following:
UT
Neutral
DT
COT
Instruments that show buying interest by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
Neutral
Up Trend
Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90
(2) COT Index <= 10
(3) No COT data available
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
Summary
Cocoa, Heating Oil, Gasoline and Natural Gas are trading higher this week. May continue to watch and add some positions especially those that are UT counter.
Trade I am in are
- Cocoa Bulk Bean (UK) (Entry on 12, 17 Feb)
Closed Trade
- Cotton (Entry on 13 Feb, took pprofit on 19 Feb)
I may consider to trade if there is a long signal on the following:
UT
- Corn
- Cotton
- Platinum
- Cocoa Bulk Bean (UK) (3)
Neutral
- Gold, Silver
- palladium
DT
- Oats
- Wheat
- Orange Juice
- Sugar Raw
- Lumber
- Gasoline
COT
Instruments that show buying interest by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
- Coffee Arabica
- Oats (1)
- Soybeans
- Soybean Meal
- Orange Juice
- Feeder Cattle
- Rough Rice (1)
- Lumber (1)
- Natural Gas (1)
- Platinum (From UT to DT)
Neutral
- Cocoa (From DT to Neutral)
- Sugar Raw (From DT to Neutral)
- Soybean Oil (From DT to Neutral)
- Silver (From UT to Neutral)
- Gold (From UT to Neutral)
- Palladium
Up Trend
- Corn
Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
- Crude
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90
(2) COT Index <= 10
(3) No COT data available
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
Indices Performance Chart - 21 Feb 15
US and Europe markets closed higher this week while Asia is a short trading week with little changed.
The following Indices, Dow, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Russell 2000, DAX (Germany), Nikkei (Japan), FTSE 100 (UK) and CNX NIFTY, NSE (India) had hit new high since 2006.
Some of the Indices going to hit test recent high (4 charts within green box) while some are laggard (6 charts on the left), worth to take a look.
Instruments that show buying interest from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
Up Trend
Note
(1) COT Index > 90
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
US markets closed higher and create new high this week. There are also 2 outside days on Dow, S&P and 1 outside day on Russell for this week. This will have "washed" the weak holder for long and short traders. Fri closing with new high will have triggered SL for some short traders. Nasdaq is the best performer this week in US.
Have took partial profit on some add-on positions when broke pdl (previous day low) to protect profit and added some on positions on using LHF and Taos SL. The small gain this week is a good sign to me for markets to get higher progressively. Don't get too over excited, markets move up in wave form and not straight line.
The following Indices, Dow, Nasdaq, S&P 500, Russell 2000, DAX (Germany), Nikkei (Japan), FTSE 100 (UK) and CNX NIFTY, NSE (India) had hit new high since 2006.
Some of the Indices going to hit test recent high (4 charts within green box) while some are laggard (6 charts on the left), worth to take a look.
Instruments that show buying interest from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
Up Trend
- Dow (decreased for 3rd week)
- Nasdaq (decreased for 2nd weeks)
- S&P (decreased for 2nd week)
- Russell (decreased for2nd week)
Note
(1) COT Index > 90
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
US markets closed higher and create new high this week. There are also 2 outside days on Dow, S&P and 1 outside day on Russell for this week. This will have "washed" the weak holder for long and short traders. Fri closing with new high will have triggered SL for some short traders. Nasdaq is the best performer this week in US.
Have took partial profit on some add-on positions when broke pdl (previous day low) to protect profit and added some on positions on using LHF and Taos SL. The small gain this week is a good sign to me for markets to get higher progressively. Don't get too over excited, markets move up in wave form and not straight line.
Daily Chart (Outside Day - New Trend)
Weekly Chart
Sunday, February 15, 2015
EA Result (13 Feb 15)
The next EA tuning will be at end of Feb to gather more data to see whether it is possible to achieve higher success rate. The tuning process will have to go through a few iteration.
Tuned Result (G1)
Test Result (T2)
This is another set of test T2 result (No tuning).
Tuned Result (G1)
Test Result (T2)
This is another set of test T2 result (No tuning).
US Dollar closed lower
US Dollar closed lower @ 94.28 this week.
V3Go Sentiment Graph
GBPUSD and NZDUSD is getting less bearish while USDCHF and USDJPY is getting less bullish. Dollar Index seem to be weakening due to recent some of the US data are below expectation, thus the weakening may be limited and for a period of time.
USD Impact currencies/Gold/Crude(wow)
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Weekly chart with 50 SMA
GBPUSD had broke weekly LHF last week while NZDUSD broke weekly LHF this week.
V3Go Sentiment Graph
GBPUSD and NZDUSD is getting less bearish while USDCHF and USDJPY is getting less bullish. Dollar Index seem to be weakening due to recent some of the US data are below expectation, thus the weakening may be limited and for a period of time.
USD Impact currencies/Gold/Crude(wow)
Weekly chart with 50 SMA
GBPUSD had broke weekly LHF last week while NZDUSD broke weekly LHF this week.
Commodities Update - 14 Feb 15
BDI continue to move new low to 530 (13 Feb) from 559 (06 Feb). For companies and commodities to have more upside, BDI will need to go higher gradually after Lunar Chinese new year.
Summary
Most commodities are trading slightly positive this week while the dollar index is weakening. May continue to watch and add some positions especially those that are UT counter.
Trade I am in are
I may consider to trade if there is a long signal on the following:
UT
COT
Instruments that show buying interest by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
(1) COT Index >= 90
(2) COT Index <= 10
(3) No COT data available
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
Summary
Most commodities are trading slightly positive this week while the dollar index is weakening. May continue to watch and add some positions especially those that are UT counter.
Trade I am in are
- Cocoa Bulk Bean (UK) (Entry on 12 Feb)
- Cotton (Entry on 13 Feb)
I may consider to trade if there is a long signal on the following:
UT
- Corn
- Cotton
- Gold, Silver
- palladium
- Platinum
- Cocoa Bulk Bean (UK) (3)
- None
- Oats
- Wheat
- Orange Juice
- Sugar Raw
- Lumber
- Gasoline
COT
Instruments that show buying interest by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
- Coffee Arabica
- Oats (1)
- Soybeans (1)
- Soybean Meal
- Wheat
- Orange Juice
- Feeder Cattle
- Rough Rice (1)
- Lumber (1)
- Natural Gas (1)
- Platinum (From UT to DT)
- Cocoa (From DT to Neutral)
- Sugar Raw (From DT to Neutral)
- Soybean Oil (From DT to Neutral)
- Palladium
- Corn
(1) COT Index >= 90
(2) COT Index <= 10
(3) No COT data available
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
Indices Performance Chart - 14 Feb 15
Most markets closed higher between 1 to 4% this week while Singapore and Norway underperformed this week.
Instruments that show buying interest from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
Up Trend
(1) COT Index > 90
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
US markets continue to close higher between 1-4% this week. S&P, Nasdaq and Russell broke 2014 high. In weekly chart, Dow, S&P and Russell had an outside day last week (in V3Go terminology, is a start of a new trend) and this week closed higher with +ROC. High probability of more upside potential if the momentum continue.
Have added positions for US Indices based on daily LHF
Most analysts are expecting Fed to increase interest rate around Jun, therefore the charts below will a reference guide. During this period from now to Jun 2015, bound to face volatility when Fed going to have speech or meeting.
Instruments that show buying interest from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
Up Trend
- Dow (decreased for 2nd week)
- Nasdaq (decreased for 1st weeks)
- S&P (decreased for 1st week)
- Russell (decreased for 1st week)
(1) COT Index > 90
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
US markets continue to close higher between 1-4% this week. S&P, Nasdaq and Russell broke 2014 high. In weekly chart, Dow, S&P and Russell had an outside day last week (in V3Go terminology, is a start of a new trend) and this week closed higher with +ROC. High probability of more upside potential if the momentum continue.
Have added positions for US Indices based on daily LHF
Daily Chart (Resistance Level)
Weekly Chart (Outside Day - New Trend)
Most analysts are expecting Fed to increase interest rate around Jun, therefore the charts below will a reference guide. During this period from now to Jun 2015, bound to face volatility when Fed going to have speech or meeting.
Sunday, February 8, 2015
EA Result (06 Feb 15)
Tuned Result (G1)
Test Result (T2)
This is another set of test T2 result (No tuning).
Test Result (T2)
This is another set of test T2 result (No tuning).
US Dollar Retraced
US Dollar retraced broke pwl (previous week low) and closed below pwl @ 94.84. Currently is facing some resistance.
USD Impact currencies/Gold/Crude(wow)
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Weekly chart with 50 SMA
USD Impact currencies/Gold/Crude(wow)
Weekly chart with 50 SMA
Commodities Update - 07 Feb 15
BDI move to another new low from 608 (30 Jan) to 559 (06 Feb)
Summary
This week most energy commodities had a technical rebound on Fri, while other commodities are weak and mixed.
I may consider to trade if there is a long signal on the following:
UT
Neutral
DT
COT
Instruments that show buying interest by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
Up Trend
Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90
(2) COT Index <= 10
(3) No COT data available
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
Summary
This week most energy commodities had a technical rebound on Fri, while other commodities are weak and mixed.
I may consider to trade if there is a long signal on the following:
UT
- Corn [Watch more closely]
- Cotton [Watch more closely]
- Gold, Silver
- palladium
- Platinum
- Cocoa Bulk Bean (UK) (3)
Neutral
- None
DT
- Oats
- Wheat
- Orange Juice
- Sugar Raw
- Lumber
- Gasoline
COT
Instruments that show buying interest by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
- Cocoa
- Sugar Raw
- Coffee Arabica
- Oats (1)
- Soybeans
- Soybean Oil
- Soybean Meal
- Wheat
- Orange Juice
- Feeder Cattle
- Rough Rice (1)
- Lumber (1)
- Natural Gas (1)
- Copper
- Palladium
Up Trend
- Corn (From DT to UT)
- Cotton (From DT to UT)
Instruments that show selling interest at extreme (2) only by Producer/Merchant/Processor/User
Down Trend
- Crude
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90
(2) COT Index <= 10
(3) No COT data available
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
Indices Performance Chart - 07 Feb 15
Most markets closed higher this week except for India and China A50.
Instruments that show buying interest from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
Up Trend
Note
(1) COT Index > 90
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
US markets closed higher between 2-4% this week.
In daily charts, Dow, S&P and Russell broke and closed above resistance trend line. Dow, S&P and Russell also hit another resistance zone. Volatility may still continue.I have added some positions for US Indices.
Instruments that show buying interest from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
Up Trend
- Dow (decreased for 1st week)
- Nasdaq (increased for few weeks)
- S&P (increased for 1st week)
- Russell (increased for 1st week)
Note
(1) COT Index > 90
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average
US markets closed higher between 2-4% this week.
In daily charts, Dow, S&P and Russell broke and closed above resistance trend line. Dow, S&P and Russell also hit another resistance zone. Volatility may still continue.I have added some positions for US Indices.
Sunday, February 1, 2015
EA Result (30 Jan 15)
Tuned Result (G1)
Test Result (T2)
This is another set of test T2 result (No tuning).
Rev A - Make some changes to EA. The unexpected result may due to markets move in my flavour. Need to monitor to see whether subsequent week produce the positive result.
Test Result (T2)
This is another set of test T2 result (No tuning).
Rev A - Make some changes to EA. The unexpected result may due to markets move in my flavour. Need to monitor to see whether subsequent week produce the positive result.
US Dollar Index new high again
US Dollar hit another new high this week at 95.85 but closed with a -ROC at 95.05
USD Impact currencies/Gold/Crude(wow)
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V3Go Sentiment Graph
USD sentiment continue to stay near it peak. Till now, the sentiment did not repeat last year pattern.
USD Impact currencies/Gold/Crude(wow)
Weekly chart with 50 SMA
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