Sunday, October 2, 2016

Indices Performance Chart - 01 Oct 16

Most markets closed higher this week.

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT
  • None
Neutral
  • None
DT
  • S&P
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average 


Little change for the week US markets.  Closed with small ROC.  US markets (except or DOW) closed with inside day.
A new daily diff is formed, the direction is not clear at this moment  Wed and Fri have important job data that may set the mood for the market.  After that will be corporate earning and US presidential election



Dow
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 18,367, 18,557, 18,669, TLU4
Potential support around 18,189, TLD5, TLU11, 17,829, 17,600, 17,271, TLD3, 17,083

S&P
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,187, 2,285
Potential support around 2,161, TLU4, 2,137, 2,129, 2,116, TLU5, 2,102, 2,081, TLD3, 2,061, 2,045

Nasdaq
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around  TLU1, 5,538
Potential support around 4,682, 4,722, 4,769, 4,816 (Historic high @ Mar 2000), 4,640, 4,537

Russell
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around TLU5, 1,259(4), 1,274, 1,287
Potential support around 1,240, 1,213, TLU2, 1,185, 1,164, 1,137

Key event to watch out  (SG Time)
03 Oct, Mon
  • China and Germany holiday
  • 0750 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturers Index (Q3)
  • 0750 JPY Tankan Large Non-Manufacturers Index (Q3)
  • 1555 EUR German Manufacturing PMI (Sep)
  • 1630 GBP Manufacturing PMI (Sep) 
  • 2200 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI (Sep) 
04 Oct, Tue
  • China holiday
  • 1130 AUD Interest Rate Decision (Oct)
  • 1130 AUD RBA Rate Statement
  • 1630 GBP Construction PMI (Sep) 
05 Oct, Wed
  • China holiday
  • 0830 AUD Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)
  • 1630 GBP Services PMI (Sep) 
  • 2015 USD ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Sep) 
  • 2030 USD Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Aug) 
  • 2200 USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep)
  • 2230 USD Crude Oil Inventories
06 Oct, Thu
  • China holiday
  • No important data
06 Oct, Fri
  • China holiday
  • 1630 GBP Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Aug)
  • 2030 USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep) 
  • 2030 USD Unemployment Rate (Sep) 
  • 2030 CAD Employment Change (Sep) 
  • 2200 CAD Ivey PMI (Sep)

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